Wall Street analysts claim Microsoft’s $13 billion OpenAI investment is “some of the best money ever spent” despite bankruptcy reports — Here’s why

Wall Street analysts claim Microsoft's $13 billion OpenAI investment is "some of the best money ever spent" despite bankruptcy reports — Here's why

What you need to know

  • Despite recent emerging issues between Microsoft and OpenAI’s multi-billion dollar partnership, some Wall Street analysts say the former’s $13 billion investment is “some of the best money ever spent.”
  • The analysts attribute their sentiments to Microsoft’s exclusive cloud computing services deal with OpenAI and its heavy integration of the ChatGPT maker’s AI smarts across its tech stack.
  • OpenAI is potentially struggling to secure adequate funding for its advanced AI projects as predictions suggest interest in the AI bubble is quickly fading.

As a tech enthusiast who has followed the industry for decades, I must admit that Microsoft’s $13 billion investment in OpenAI feels like a shrewd move, given the potential benefits it holds. While the partnership has had its share of rocky moments, such as the ousting and reinstatement of Sam Altman as CEO, the strategic advantages are undeniable.


Over the last several years, Microsoft has appeared to prioritize generative AI, significantly so after its massive financial commitment to OpenAI. It’s a strategic decision that has temporarily placed Microsoft at the top of the corporate value hierarchy above Apple and NVIDIA. Both Apple and NVIDIA have previously held this position, with their rapid expansion being largely credited to early investments in generative AI by industry analysts and experts.

Microsoft’s pursuit in AI technology has faced significant hurdles and roadblocks, such as the replacement of Sam Altman as CEO at OpenAI towards the end of last year. This decision stirred controversy and raised concerns among employees, with some stating “OpenAI is nothing without its people.” However, Altman was reinstated as CEO a few days later.

It was speculated that Microsoft was planning to establish a presence in OpenAI’s San Francisco headquarters, using its LinkedIn offices. Reports suggested that the tech titan, Microsoft, was preparing to debut a new Artificial Intelligence division, with Sam Altman and Greg Brockman as its leaders.

This year, Microsoft made an organizational change, moving products such as Microsoft Edge, Bing, and Microsoft Copilot to a newly established Microsoft Artificial Intelligence division, which is now led by Mustafa Suleyman, one of the co-founders of Deep Mind.

The relationship between Microsoft and OpenAI continues to be intricate, facing numerous challenges such as regulatory hurdles, bankruptcy disputes, and apprehension among investors over a defined route to profitability.

Insiders at Microsoft have voiced similar worries about their company’s alliance with ChatGPT’s creator, likening it to an unexpected transformation into a supportive tech unit for this rapidly growing startup overnight. A previous Microsoft executive suggested that the collaboration between OpenAI and Microsoft may have played a role in the demise of services such as Azure Cognitive Search, Azure AI Bot Service, and Kinect DK.

It’s worth noting that OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, was facing a critical financial crisis with predictions of a whopping $5 billion in losses over the next year. However, they managed to escape this tight spot by securing additional funding from investors, including Microsoft and NVIDIA, which amounted to an impressive $6.6 billion. This new investment significantly increased OpenAI’s market value, placing it well over the $157 billion mark.

Earlier on, investors had begun expressing worries about Microsoft’s significant investments in AI initiatives that weren’t generating noticeable results. Market pundits and specialists foresee a gradual diminishing of enthusiasm for AI, possibly causing investors to divert their funds from generative AI ventures towards other opportunities. A study indicates that around 30% of AI projects may be discontinued by 2025 following the proof-of-concept stage.

OpenAI consistently invests substantial sums in its AI developments, which may account for it being on its eighth round of financing. To put this into perspective, it spends roughly $700,000 a day just to keep ChatGPT operational. However, the financial pressure from recent funding rounds has put the company in a challenging position. It must transition into a profit-driven entity within the next two years or risk having to return investors’ funds and face potential external control and hostile takeovers. Consequently, experts are speculating that Microsoft might acquire OpenAI within the subsequent three years.

OpenAI’s shift towards becoming a profit-driven company is encountering resistance from employees, authorities, and government officials. Currently, OpenAI is engaged in a courtroom dispute concerning this very matter. Elon Musk, a billionaire and one of the original founders of OpenAI, has filed a lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman, claiming that they have betrayed the company’s original mission by acting unscrupulously and engaging in racketeering activities.

Microsoft’s $13 billion OpenAI investment was money well spent

Wall Street analysts claim Microsoft's $13 billion OpenAI investment is "some of the best money ever spent" despite bankruptcy reports — Here's why

Despite OpenAI apparently favoring macOS over Windows by only releasing ChatGPT’s desktop app on Apple systems, this move might appear as a significant blow to its partnership with Microsoft. However, Microsoft remains well-positioned to derive numerous advantages from the strong alliance in tech, often referred to as the ‘best bromance’. (Source: The Motley Fool)

Initially, Microsoft uniquely offers cloud computing solutions for the AI developments of OpenAI. A recent disclosure reveals that Microsoft stands to earn 20% of OpenAI’s income stream thanks to its initial investment. Yet, there are concerns that OpenAI might face financial difficulties, incurring a massive $44 billion in losses before turning a profit by 2029.

Following this, Microsoft has seamlessly incorporated the intelligence of OpenAI’s AI into its technological infrastructure, leading to the debut of AI-driven products and solutions such as Microsoft 365 Copilot and Azure OpenAI Service. This platform streamlines repetitive tasks in Word, PowerPoint, and Excel, resulting in a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies.

After the strategic alliance between Microsoft and OpenAI, some Wall Street analysts have praised the $13 billion investment as a wise expenditure that could prove to be one of the smartest investments made.

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2024-11-12 20:39