Why Solana traders remain divided even as SOL eyes $249

  • Analysis from Hyblock highlighted $249 as a critical level for a potential upward move.
  • Yet, some traders are positioning for a rally, while others are betting on further declines.

As a seasoned researcher with years of market analysis under my belt, I find myself intrigued by the current state of Solana [SOL]. The price action this weekend was nothing short of dramatic, and it seems like we’re standing at a critical juncture.


The weekend brought choppy price action for Solana [SOL]. Following a 7.22% drop over the past week, the token slid another 3.22% in the last 24 hours, settling at $235.

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that the recent market dip might be indicative of investor exhaustion. It seems like potential buyers are taking a pause, waiting for more definitive cues before making their moves.

To some, this dip may appear as a regular adjustment, but others caution that it might signal the start of a more significant downturn.

SOL clears low leverage liquidity, eyes key target

As per Hyblock’s analysis, SOL seemed to be maneuvering through a period of minimal profit opportunities due to reduced liquidity, with its value decreasing on the price graphs.

This pattern of action frequently indicates that SOL might be removing lower-risk liquidity positions, possibly paving the way for a price increase.

Should the current situation unfold as predicted, Hyblock’s chart suggests that Solana (SOL) may find its next significant price milestone around $249. This area is marked by a substantial concentration of market liquidity, which could potentially ignite a surge in SOL prices.

Despite this, the future looks unclear as market indicators present conflicting messages. Some signs hint at a possible decline, whereas others indicate that Solana (SOL) could potentially recover.

Market sees heavy selling—Is this a retracement?

Recently, on-chain indicators show an increase in selling actions taking place, coinciding with a drop in both price and transaction volume. Specifically, the daily volume has decreased by approximately 9.75%, currently standing at around $3.72 billion.

According to Coinglass’s Long-to-Short Liquidation model, there appears to be a predominantly bearish sentiment in the derivatives market. In simple terms, this means that more traders are choosing to sell contracts (short position) rather than buy contracts (long position). The long-to-short ratio, which should ideally be equal to or greater than 1 when more long contracts exist, currently stands at 0.8681, suggesting a substantial excess of short contracts in the market.

The farther this ratio moves below 1, the more dominant short positions become.

The trend you see here is mirrored by the liquidation figures from the last 24 hours. Positions valued at approximately $6.4 million that were long positions have been terminated, while only a much smaller amount of $348,600 was liquidated from short positions.

The stark disparity highlighted a market favoring downside momentum.

Considering the current trends, it seems that the value of SOL might continue to drop, since pessimistic opinions seem to dominate over any indications suggesting a possible comeback.

Bulls show signs of life amid market volatility

Contrary to the recent negative market vibe, there’s been a resurgence of optimistic trading, evident by a 2.89% growth in Open Interest, which now stands at an impressive $5.28 billion.

The level of Open Interest indicates the amount of derivative agreements that have yet to be settled within the market. An increase often suggests regained trader faith and may signal a market ready for a surge or rally.

Read Solana’s [SOL] Price Prediction 2024–2025

As a researcher, I’ve observed an interesting trend in the market based on Netflow data analysis. It appears that there has been a bias towards bullish sentiments, as substantial liquidity, predominantly Solana (SOL), is flowing from exchanges to individual wallets.

As a researcher, I am observing that this outflow might trigger a supply shortage, exerting an upward force on prices and enhancing the probability of a bullish surge. Conversely, the decline may simply represent a pullback.

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2024-12-01 23:03