Pi Coin: 4% Push Away from Glory, But a 5% Drop Could Send It Downhill Fast

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The Pi Coin price has dipped by about 1.5% today, but, much like that one student who always scores just a tad higher than the rest, it still boasts a 7-day gain of 6.1%-leading the crypto market in a rare show of strength. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is drowning in a nearly 20% loss. Pi’s ability to hold steady through stormy market waters is certainly… impressive, though possibly more luck than skill. But hey, at least it’s holding green candles, right?

However, the price movement has been languishing in a narrow band, caught between $0.24 and $0.22 since November 17. The chart now presents a tight 4-5% window, where Pi Coin could break either way-up or down-depending on which way the winds of market sentiment blow. Will Pi turn into a hero, or will it succumb to the call of the abyss? Let’s see.

Large Buyers: The Shining Light in a Sea of Retail Despair

Pi Coin does have one thing going for it: the heavy hitters, the big wallets, are still in the game.

Between November 19 and November 24, the price made a lower high, while the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) made a higher high. Now, for those of you who are wondering, CMF tracks whether big wallets are adding or leaving. This is a bullish divergence-a sign that despite the price slowing down, larger investors are still buying. The rich keep getting richer, while the rest… well, not so much.

If you’re craving more deep crypto wisdom, check out Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter. Yes, we promise it’s not just hype.

The CMF remains solidly above zero, like a steady hand on a rocking ship. As long as it stays there, the big wallets continue to support the bounce. But honestly, this is the only clean bullish signal Pi Coin has at the moment. Don’t hold your breath for more fireworks anytime soon.

The Retail Crowd: The Silent (and Slightly Anemic) Majority

Meanwhile, the retail investors? Oh dear. They’re not exactly making a statement. Between November 21 and November 24, Pi Coin’s price made a higher low, but the Money Flow Index (MFI)-which tracks the strength of dip buying-made a lower low. This is a bearish divergence, meaning retail buying is more like a slow, dying fire than the raging inferno we’d like to see.

Now, let’s talk about volume-because in crypto, it’s always about the volume, baby. On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still stuck below its trendline at -1.97 billion. OBV measures if fresh volume is entering the market, and right now… it’s not. Until it breaks above that key trendline, Pi doesn’t have the firepower it needs for a solid breakout. In fact, a dip below the trendline could signal even more pain.

In essence, while the big whales are still swimming happily in Pi’s waters, the retail crowd is sitting this one out. Volume remains neutral, like that friend who never chooses sides at a group argument. The big decision here? Will volume give Pi a push, or let it fall?

Pi Coin Price: The 4% Breakout or The 5% Breakdown

For Pi Coin to truly turn this recovery into a rally, it needs to break above $0.24. That requires a 4.38% move, which could lead to $0.26, or even $0.29, if volume decides to show up and put on a real show. But of course, the risks are real, too. A fall under $0.22? That exposes the price to a decline down to $0.21-marking a 5.49% drop. And we all know what that means: it would align perfectly with the bearish MFI divergences and neutral OBV. Yikes.

So, here we stand: Pi Coin is in a precarious spot. Both outcomes are almost equally likely:

  • CMF is holding steady, possibly helping with the 4% upward move.
  • But MFI and OBV are whispering about the 5% risk of a downturn.

A clean break above $0.24? That confirms strength. A clean drop below $0.22? Weakness confirmed. Either way, the Pi Coin price range could break soon. Let’s hope someone (or something) decides to make a move.

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2025-11-25 11:47