Markets

What to know:
- CF Benchmarks is treating Bitcoin like that trendy new avocado toast-essential for your portfolio.
- They’re basically predicting bear, base, and bull price scenarios until 2035. Because why not plan a few decades ahead? 🦙
- Who knew Bitcoin could make portfolios more efficient? Just like that time I organized my sock drawer by color and fabric. 🎨
In a recent revelation that could only be rivaled by my friend’s insistence that kale is delicious, CF Benchmarks, a proud subsidiary of Kraken (the only kraken I’m okay with), has declared that institutional investors are finally looking at Bitcoin as a serious asset rather than just a fleeting trend during a midlife crisis. They’re projecting a casual price of $1.4 million by 2035-because why aim low? 🎈
In their 42-page report, titled “Building Bitcoin Capital Market Assumptions: A Practitioner’s Framework for Strategic and Tactical Allocations,” which sounds about as thrilling as watching paint dry, the U.K.-based firm insists Bitcoin can be evaluated with the same dry metrics we apply to boring old stocks and bonds. Who knew finance could be so exciting? 😴
This shift in perspective reflects an influx of institutional participation, like when you open a bag of chips and suddenly everyone remembers they’re starving. The market is becoming more accessible, liquidity is deeper, and regulatory clarity is improving-kind of like my understanding of how to assemble IKEA furniture after three hours of struggling. 🔧
A portfolio-based approach to Bitcoin
Instead of the usual “What’s Bitcoin’s price today?” chatter, CF Benchmarks is applying various valuation frameworks-like comparing Bitcoin to other stores of value (is it the rich uncle of the family?), production economics (what grandma used to call good ol’ fashioned hard work), and how it reacts to global liquidity conditions (like how I react when my favorite song comes on). 🎶
Together, these methods suggest Bitcoin’s value is rooted in its growing share of the global store-of-value market, its limited supply, and its knack for responding to monetary conditions-sort of like how I respond to free snacks at meetings. 🍪
Long-term price scenarios through 2035
With these frameworks, CF Benchmarks crunched some numbers and came up with a range of long-term valuation outcomes for Bitcoin through 2035, based on various adoption paths. Spoiler alert: they’ve got some wild predictions.
In their most conservative case-think of it as the “please don’t tell my parents” scenario-they predict Bitcoin could reach around $637,000 by 2035. Just enough to buy a decent house in the Midwest, or several life-sized cardboard cutouts of my favorite celebrities. 🏡
The base case, which assumes broader adoption and faster growth, estimates Bitcoin might hit around $1.42 million by 2035. So, if you’re looking for a way to fund your retirement in style, this could be your ticket! 💰
And in their most optimistic scenario-a bull case that makes me feel all fluttery inside-they project Bitcoin could soar to nearly $2.95 million. If that doesn’t scream “Buy me a yacht,” I don’t know what does! ⛵
Implications for institutional portfolios
Beyond just price predictions, CF Benchmarks suggests that allocating about 2% to 5% of your portfolio to Bitcoin could significantly boost efficiency. That’s like adding a shot of espresso to your morning coffee-suddenly, everything feels possible! ☕️✨
They argue that as regulations become clearer and access improves, investors will start focusing less on the latest gossip about Bitcoin and more on disciplined allocation and risk management. Finally, a sensible approach! 🎓
No longer relegated to the sidelines, CF Benchmarks sees Bitcoin as a viable asset for long-term portfolios-one that responds to adoption trends and macroeconomic factors instead of just the whims of Twitter. Now, if only I could apply that logic to my dating life… 💔
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2025-12-18 19:43