Ah, Bitcoin (BTC), that digital trickster, is apparently eyeing gold’s all-time highs with the kind of longing usually reserved for a particularly shiny object in a pirate’s treasure chest. According to the wise sages at The Kobeissi Letter, it’s only a matter of time before Bitcoin decides to play catch-up with the precious metal, which, let’s face it, has been strutting its stuff like it owns the place.
In a riveting thread on the mystical platform known as X (formerly Twitter, but who’s counting?), the trading wizards proclaimed that gold’s performance in 2025 is “telling us something.” What it’s telling us, presumably, is that it’s still the shiny one in the relationship.
Bitcoin Flags as Gold Disrupts the Norm
Currently, Bitcoin finds itself in a state of limbo, which is a bit like being stuck in a queue at the DMV but with fewer forms to fill out. Meanwhile, gold is off gallivanting, far from the rangebound blues that Bitcoin seems to be suffering from.
According to the oracle known as CryptoMoon Markets Pro and the ever-reliable TradingView, BTC/USD has managed to gain a modest 10% year-to-date, while XAU/USD (that’s gold for the uninitiated) has been busy raking in around half of that. In 2024, gold decided to flex its muscles and gained a whopping 20%. Talk about a glow-up!
Gold, the steadfast companion, has been remarkably unfazed by the week’s volatility shocks, including the infamous DeepSeek AI scare, which sounds like a bad sci-fi movie. It has also managed to temper its usual inverse relationship with the US dollar, which is like a cat deciding it’s okay to share its sunbeam with a dog.
“Gold prices have risen in a straight line, even as the S&P 500 was doing its best impression of a rollercoaster. In fact, even as the US Dollar hit a new 52-week high and the 10-year note yield broke 4.80%, gold surged,” the wise ones at Kobeissi reported.
“Historically speaking, gold should be down sharply. The opposite is happening.”
Now, Bitcoin’s relationship with dollar strength, as measured by the US dollar index (DXY), has been the subject of much debate, much like whether pineapple belongs on pizza. For market participants, however, the outcome for BTC/USD in the face of gold’s rampant rise is as clear as a crystal ball at a fortune teller’s convention.
“All things aside, Gold is about to make a new all-time high. It’s only a matter of time before Bitcoin follows,” declared the ever-optimistic trader, analyst, and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe to his followers on X. Because who doesn’t love a good prophecy?
BTC Price Needs Key Rebound
As CryptoMoon reported, there’s a popular theory floating around that Bitcoin lags behind gold by several months, like a slightly confused puppy trying to catch up with its owner. But not everyone is convinced that this status quo will last forever.
In a moment of analytical brilliance, the popular X analytics account Northstar warned that a “critical” level was in danger of being violated. And no, they weren’t talking about a poorly planned party.
The ratio set new all-time highs of its own in December 2024, which is impressive unless you’re Bitcoin, in which case it’s just another Tuesday.
“Bitcoin should breakout versus gold after this consolidation here, BUT if the ratio falls below 34, the bull run may end,” one of the many posts on the topic read. Because nothing says “fun” like a potential market crash!
“No need for any narrative or bias. Just observe the evidence as it unfolds. In this case, it will be very clear…one way or the other.”
An accompanying chart suggested that, in the best-case scenario, BTC price strength should gain on gold for “a few more weeks/months.” So, grab your popcorn, folks; this financial drama is just getting started!
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2025-01-29 13:45