In the dimly lit office, where the air was thick with the scent of old coffee and ambition, Jamie Dimon, that seasoned banker with the eyes of a man who has seen too many market cycles, sighed. Investors, he mused, were like guests at a provincial wedding—cheerful, tipsy, and blissfully unaware that the roof was leaking.
On a recent webcast—one of those modern gatherings where faces flicker on screens and voices echo in digital corridors—Dimon observed that the S&P 500 had leapt up 23% in a matter of weeks. The crowd cheered. The band played. No one noticed the floorboards creaking beneath their feet.
Dimon, with a wry smile, warned that tariffs—those invisible taxes that politicians toss about like confetti—were lurking in the wings. “People feel pretty good because you haven’t seen an effect of tariffs,” he said, as if describing a patient who laughs while the fever climbs. “The market came down 10%, it’s back up 10%. Extraordinary complacency!”
He spoke of inflation and stagflation as if they were distant relatives who might arrive uninvited at any moment, bringing awkward conversation and a whiff of trouble. “Too many things out there,” he muttered, “and I think you can see the effect.”
Countries, meanwhile, were quietly slipping out the back door to cut trade deals elsewhere. Manufacturing, that old workhorse, would take years to return—if it ever did. “Three to four years to build a real plant,” Dimon noted, as if recalling how long it takes for a cherry orchard to bear fruit.
And so, as the S&P 500 perched at 5,940, the revelers danced on. Somewhere in the distance, thunder rumbled. But for now, there was only laughter, champagne, and the faint suspicion that someone had forgotten to lock the door.
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2025-05-21 10:28