As a seasoned researcher with a keen interest in cryptocurrencies and financial markets, I find myself intrigued by the bullish predictions for 2025 as per the CryptoMoon review. The forecasts from prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi suggest an optimistic outlook, with Bitcoin and Ether potentially reaching new heights and the US approving several crypto ETFs.
People who gamble on cryptocurrency trends believe that the year 2025 could be a significant success for the crypto market, as suggested by an analysis conducted by CryptoMoon, using data collected from two well-known platforms where predictions about future events are made.
2025 could see Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) reaching all-time price peaks, according to predictions by traders on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. They further foresee the U.S. approving multiple types of cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as well as setting up a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
By December 26th, Kalshi estimates that there’s over a 60% chance for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) to reach at least $125,000 and $5,000 respectively by the year 2025. Polymarket predicts a 50% likelihood that BTC will hit $120,000 before the end of March.
To date, Bitcoin’s record high is around $108,300 and Ether’s is around $4,720.
Related: Kalshi gives Paul Atkins 93% odds to be Trump’s SEC Chair pick despite mixed reports
By the end of July 31st, Polymarket predictors believe that there’s a high chance – approximately 75% – for US regulators to approve an XRP (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Litecoin (LTC) ETF. The chances of approval for a Solana ETF are slightly lower at 69%, while the possibility for a Litecoin ETF is estimated at 51%. They also suggest that the odds of a Dogecoin (DOGE) ETF being approved by then are around 22%.
Furthermore, it’s estimated that Kalshi users believe there is a 59% possibility that President-elect Donald Trump will establish a national Bitcoin strategic reserve during his term. However, Polymarket predicts only a 29% chance of this happening within the first 100 days of Trump’s presidency.
During the lead-up to the U.S. elections in November, Polymarket and Kalshi gained significant attention, handling over $4 billion in trading volume that was directly connected to the U.S. presidential race.
Prediction markets allow individuals to buy and sell contracts linked to particular events, and the prices adjust continuously according to anticipated results. These platforms have shown greater accuracy compared to standard surveys or polls. They accurately predicted not only Donald Trump’s victory but also his party’s control of both the U.S. House and Senate.
Conflicting signals
In contrast to betting sites, traditional future markets predict smaller profits from cryptocurrencies during the first three months of 2025.
On the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a major U.S. futures market, traders are currently estimating that the price for Bitcoin in March will be approximately $98,000, while the projected cost for Ethereum is around $3,500 at the spot market.
Despite dropping approximately 4% in the early hours of Eastern Time on December 26, Bitcoin’s price is significantly higher than it was on December 26 at roughly $96,000, and Ethereum’s price is also higher, having been around $3,350.
In simpler terms, futures contracts represent pre-set deals to either purchase or sell a specific asset at a later time. These contracts serve essential functions in risk management (hedging) and are frequently used for making bold predictions about market trends (speculation).
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2024-12-26 20:48