Author: Denis Avetisyan
A new generation of colliders and advanced detector technologies are crucial to unlock the full potential of Higgs boson studies and reveal potential physics beyond our current understanding.

This review advocates for a future Higgs factory to enable precision measurements of the Higgs boson’s properties and search for new physics through electroweak precision measurements, effective field theories, and innovative data analysis techniques.
Despite the Standard Modelās remarkable successes, fundamental questions about the universe remain unanswered, motivating continued exploration beyond its established framework. This pursuit is the central theme of ‘The Future of Higgs Physics’, a discussion of precision measurements of the Higgs boson and related observables anticipated at future high-energy colliders. The paper argues that a dedicated āHiggs factoryā-coupled with advances in detector technology and machine learning techniques-is crucial for both refining our understanding of the Higgs sector and searching for subtle deviations indicative of new physics. Will these next-generation experiments unlock the secrets hidden within the Higgs field and reveal a more complete picture of the fundamental laws governing our universe?
Unveiling the Higgs: A Precision Quest
The discovery of the Higgs boson confirmed a vital component of the Standard Model of particle physics, but simply establishing its existence isn’t enough. A complete understanding of the Higgs requires extraordinarily precise measurements of its properties – its mass, spin, parity, and, crucially, how strongly it interacts with other particles. These interactions, known as couplings, are predicted by the Standard Model, but any deviations – however slight – could signal the presence of new, undiscovered physics. The Higgs boson may act as a portal to phenomena beyond our current understanding, such as dark matter or extra dimensions, and subtle variations in its couplings would provide the first experimental evidence. Therefore, ongoing and future research focuses intently on refining these measurements, treating the Higgs boson not just as a completed piece of the puzzle, but as a key to unlocking the next chapter in particle physics.
Despite completing the Standard Model of particle physics, current colliders, such as the High Luminosity Large Hadron Collider, face inherent limitations in fully understanding the Higgs boson. These machines excel at discovering new particles, but precisely measuring the Higgsās interactions – its ācouplingsā – with other particles proves exceptionally challenging. The sheer abundance of background events-other particle interactions mimicking Higgs decays-obscures subtle deviations from predicted behavior. Furthermore, the energy reach of these colliders restricts the ability to probe indirect effects of new, heavier particles that might influence Higgs couplings. Consequently, while the High Luminosity LHC provides valuable data, a leap in precision is necessary to definitively map the Higgsās properties and search for evidence of physics beyond the Standard Model, requiring facilities designed specifically for this task.
The exploration of the Higgs boson necessitates a leap in collider technology, driving proposals for future facilities known as āHiggs Factoriesā. These aren’t simply more powerful versions of existing machines; they are meticulously designed to maximize the production rate of Higgs bosons and enable extraordinarily precise measurements of its properties. By scrutinizing how the Higgs interacts with other particles – its ācouplingsā – scientists hope to detect subtle deviations from the Standard Modelās predictions. Such anomalies could be the first evidence of new particles and forces at work, potentially unveiling physics beyond the current understanding at energy scales of 40 TeV and even higher. This pursuit of precision promises to transform the Higgs boson from a completed piece of the Standard Model into a powerful portal for discovering the universeās hidden secrets.
![Measurements of Higgs pair production via ZHH and WW-fusion processes at 550 GeV complement each other to provide precision on the deviation <span class="katex-eq" data-katex-display="false">\Delta\kappa_{\lambda}</span> of the Higgs self-coupling from its Standard Model value, as detailed in reference [24].](https://arxiv.org/html/2601.02729v1/x4.png)
Charting the Course: Collider Designs in Competition
Currently, two principal collider designs are under consideration for future high-energy physics facilities. Circular electron-positron colliders, exemplified by the Future Circular Collider – electron-positron (FCC-ee) and the Circular Electron Positron Collider (CEPC), utilize a circular storage ring to accelerate and collide particles. Conversely, linear colliders, such as the International Linear Collider (ILC) and the Compact Linear Collider (CLIC), employ a straight-line acceleration and collision path. These proposed designs represent fundamentally different approaches to achieving the high energies and luminosities required for precision Higgs boson studies.
Circular electron-positron colliders, such as the proposed FCC-ee and CEPC, maximize luminosity by maintaining collisions over multiple passes of particles within a storage ring. This allows for a greater total interaction rate despite potentially lower instantaneous collision rates. Conversely, linear colliders, like the ILC and CLIC, facilitate a single interaction between the particle beams; luminosity is therefore dependent on achieving a high beam current and small beam spot size in a single pass. The fundamental difference in interaction methodology dictates distinct requirements for beam control, radio frequency (RF) power, and overall machine size to achieve comparable levels of data collection.
Both circular and linear collider designs face distinct engineering hurdles in maximizing Higgs boson production and achieving target precision measurements. The goal is to determine the top quark Yukawa coupling to within 2.8% and the Higgs self-coupling to within 5%, requiring an integrated luminosity of 8 ab-1. Circular colliders must manage synchrotron radiation and beam stability over numerous laps, while linear colliders demand exceptionally high accelerating gradients and precise beam alignment. Optimizing detector designs to efficiently capture and reconstruct the decay products of the Higgs boson is crucial for both approaches, demanding high-resolution calorimetry and tracking systems capable of handling high event rates and complex backgrounds.

The Tools of Precision: Detectors and Analysis Techniques
Precise measurement of Higgs couplings necessitates detector technologies capable of high resolution and efficiency. Monolithic Active Pixel Sensors (MAPS) offer advantages in tracking and vertexing due to their fine pixel pitch and low material budget, crucial for reconstructing the decay products of the Higgs boson. Particle Flow Calorimetry (PFC) combines measurements from both electromagnetic and hadronic calorimeters with tracking information to identify and measure the energy of individual particles in an event, improving the overall energy resolution and enabling accurate reconstruction of missing transverse energy. These technologies, when combined, minimize systematic uncertainties and maximize sensitivity to subtle variations in Higgs decay rates and branching fractions, facilitating precise determinations of Higgs couplings.
The Tera-Z program is designed to provide a high-statistics dataset for detector characterization prior to high-energy Higgs studies. By analyzing measurements of the Z boson, specifically targeting the ZZ decay channel, the program aims to achieve a data sample of 5 \times 10^{12} events. This substantial dataset will enable precise calibration of detector components, validation of reconstruction algorithms, and a thorough understanding of systematic uncertainties. The programās focus on ZZ decays allows for well-understood final states and facilitates accurate benchmarking of detector performance, ultimately enhancing the sensitivity of future Higgs coupling measurements.
Reconstructing the complex cascades of particles produced in high-energy collisions requires sophisticated data analysis techniques, prominently including Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. These algorithms are critical for accurately identifying and measuring the energy and momentum of individual particles within these showers, a process complicated by detector limitations and background noise. ML methods, such as boosted decision trees and neural networks, are employed to discriminate signal events from background, improving event selection efficiency and reducing systematic uncertainties. This enhanced sensitivity is projected to enable the detection of new physics phenomena at energy scales up to 40 TeV, exceeding the capabilities of current experimental facilities and probing previously inaccessible regions of the parameter space.
![CMS experiment measurements reveal a strong correlation between Higgs boson couplings and particle mass, with residual uncertainties shown in the lower plot, as detailed in [4].](https://arxiv.org/html/2601.02729v1/x1.png)
The Path Forward: A Global Vision for Particle Physics
The selection of a particular design for a future Higgs Factory represents a pivotal moment for particle physics, extending far beyond engineering considerations. This choice fundamentally shapes the research pathways available to scientists for decades to come, determining which questions about the universe can be realistically addressed. Different collider designs – whether an electron-positron collider, a muon collider, or even a future circular hadron collider – offer unique strengths in probing the properties of the Higgs boson and searching for evidence of physics beyond the Standard Model. The capabilities of each design dictate the precision with which Higgs couplings can be measured, the types of new particles that can be detected, and the energy scales that can be explored. Consequently, the decision isnāt simply about building a machine; itās about prioritizing specific areas of investigation and charting the course for uncovering the fundamental laws governing reality, potentially revealing subtle deviations from established theories or opening entirely new avenues of research.
The advancement of particle physics relies heavily on international collaboration and strategic planning, and the European Strategy for Particle Physics serves as the linchpin for evaluating ambitious collider proposals. This process isnāt simply a technical review; itās a rigorous assessment of scientific merit, feasibility, and long-term impact, considering factors ranging from technological readiness and budgetary constraints to potential discoveries and alignment with broader research goals. The Strategy carefully weighs the strengths and weaknesses of each proposed collider – whether a circular electron-positron collider, a future circular hadron collider, or other innovative designs – to determine which option offers the most compelling path toward addressing fundamental questions about the universe. By establishing clear priorities and fostering consensus among leading scientists and funding agencies, the European Strategy ensures that resources are allocated effectively, maximizing the potential for groundbreaking discoveries and solidifying Europeās position at the forefront of particle physics research.
A next-generation collider promises to rigorously test the Standard Model of particle physics through precise measurements of Higgs boson couplings. These measurements represent a crucial probe for new physics; if the Higgs interacts exactly as predicted, it strongly supports the existing framework. However, even slight deviations could unveil discrepancies, hinting at interactions beyond the Standard Model and potentially ushering in a new era of particle physics. Such deviations are often parameterized within the Standard Model Effective Field Theory (SMEFT), allowing physicists to systematically explore the effects of new, heavier particles. Crucially, the anticipated precision of these measurements, facilitated by a future collider, offers the potential to constrain the energy scales at which new physics manifests, with uncertainties in operator coefficients potentially sensitive to scales of 40 TeV and beyond – effectively probing energy regimes inaccessible through direct production at current colliders.

The pursuit of a future Higgs factory, as detailed in the study, exemplifies a commitment to refining existing models rather than fundamentally questioning their premises. This mirrors a broader tendency within scientific inquiry-a focus on optimization before ontological reassessment. As Paul Feyerabend observed, āAnything goes.ā While not advocating for complete methodological anarchy, the quote serves as a pertinent reminder that clinging too tightly to established frameworks-like the Standard Model-can stifle genuinely novel discoveries. The emphasis on electroweak precision measurements and advanced detector R&D, while technically impressive, must be coupled with a willingness to embrace theoretical possibilities that deviate from current understanding. Otherwise, the quest for new physics risks becoming an exercise in confirming pre-existing biases.
The Road Ahead
The pursuit of a Higgs factory, as detailed within, is less a technological challenge and more an exercise in defining priorities. The Standard Model, despite its successes, remains a provisional scaffolding, and ever-more-precise measurements of a single particle will not, in themselves, reveal the underlying architecture of reality. Every null result, every refined parameter, is a statement about the assumptions embedded within the experimental design and theoretical frameworks. The true cost is not in silicon and superconducting magnets, but in the intellectual honesty required to confront the limits of current approaches.
Detector innovation, particularly advances in particle flow calorimetry and machine learning techniques, is presented as essential. Yet, these tools, while powerful, risk amplifying existing biases if not rigorously scrutinized. The temptation to ādiscoverā patterns reflecting pre-conceived notions, rather than genuine anomalies, is substantial. A future collider, therefore, demands not only advanced instrumentation, but also a commitment to adversarial testing and open data principles.
The question isnāt simply if a Higgs factory should be built, but for whom and to what end. The pursuit of fundamental knowledge is valuable, but its value is diminished if it is divorced from broader ethical considerations. Precision without purpose is merely an acceleration towards an undefined destination.
Original article: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.02729.pdf
Contact the author: https://www.linkedin.com/in/avetisyan/
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2026-01-07 20:30