- Bitcoin faced significant resistance between $98K and $100K.
- Shrinking exchange reserves and inflows signaled reduced selling pressure, leaning in favor of long-term bullish sentiment.
The attempt by Bitcoin (BTC) to reach the significant $100,000 mark has faced strong opposition. Currently, its value remains close to an essential resistance area, which lies between approximately $98,000 and $100,000 – a region where there’s been increased supply of the cryptocurrency.
In this particular area, bulls have found it tough going due to strong defensive efforts by those holding short positions.
As a researcher delving into the dynamics of Bitcoin, overcoming this key resistance point is crucial to maintain the coin’s bullish trend and prevent a possible bearish correction.
Head-and-shoulders pattern looms
As per an esteemed expert in the field of X, there appears to be a potential head-and-shoulders pattern emerging on Bitcoin’s price chart. If verified, this bearish configuration might lead to a drop in its value towards the $78,000 range.
This adjustment matches the technical standards, considering the pattern’s past reliability.
However, the pattern remains invalidated until a decisive break below the neckline.
It’s crucial for bulls that the closing price of either day or week surpasses $100K significantly. Doing so would contradict the current bearish perspective, paving the way for Bitcoin to reach even higher prices.
![](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/BTC-possible-head-and-shoulder.jpeg)
Decreasing exchange reserves point to a bullish potential
The on-chain data presents a more hopeful outlook. It appears that the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges has been steadily decreasing, suggesting that less Bitcoin is currently being offered for trade.
As a researcher examining the Bitcoin market, I’ve noticed an emerging trend: Market participants appear to be preferentially holding onto their Bitcoins rather than selling them. This shift in behavior seems to be decreasing the selling pressure on Bitcoin.
![](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Bitcoin-Exchange-Reserve-All-Exchanges-1.png)
Furthermore, it’s worth noting that the rate at which money is coming into the system, a crucial indicator for predicting possible selling actions, has been gradually falling since the 30th of December.
According to CryptoQuant’s reports, lower amounts of Bitcoin are moving to exchanges, a trend that lends strength to the optimistic perspective about its market direction.
![](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Bitcoin-Exchange-Inflow-Total-All-Exchanges-8.png)
What lies ahead for Bitcoin?
The struggle between those who support Bitcoin’s price increase (Bitcoin bulls) and those expecting a decline (Bitcoin bears) continues, with the leading cryptocurrency still unable to break through the barrier of $100,000.
If we surpass this significant resistance point, it may signal more increases ahead. But if we don’t, it could confirm a pessimistic head-and-shoulders chart pattern instead.
Despite this technical uncertainty, on-chain data paints a bullish picture.
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2025–2026
Decreases in Bitcoin’s exchange reserves and incoming funds indicate a change in attitude among holders, who seem to be increasingly optimistic about the digital currency’s future rather than taking a bearish stance by selling off their current investments.
Bitcoin’s next move will majorly rely on its ability to overcome the $100K resistance.
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2025-01-06 01:11