Bitcoin chart pattern hints at sub $80K drop: BNB, AAVE, XMR and VIRTUAL still look strong

As a seasoned investor with over two decades of experience in the cryptocurrency market, I have seen my fair share of bull and bear cycles. The recent price action in the market has been particularly intriguing, as some coins have been performing exceptionally well while others have struggled to hold their ground.

In my personal opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) remains a stalwart in the crypto world, but its dominance is waning as altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and Binance Coin (BNB) are gaining traction. I have always been a believer in diversifying one’s portfolio, so I recommend keeping an eye on these coins as they could offer significant returns in the coming months.

That being said, I would caution against putting all your eggs in one basket and urge investors to do their due diligence before investing in any coin. The crypto market is notoriously volatile, and even the most promising projects can falter if not managed well.

On a lighter note, I remember when Bitcoin was trading at just a few dollars, and it’s hard to believe how far it has come since then. It reminds me of when I first started investing in cryptocurrency back in 2010 – who would have thought that the market would grow so rapidly? Just goes to show you never know what the future holds in this wild world of crypto!

During the week, Bitcoin (BTC) was unable to sustain its recovery efforts, indicating that bears were selling at elevated prices. Despite buyers’ unsuccessful attempts to push the price above $100,000, they haven’t surrendered much ground to sellers. This indicates that bulls are maintaining their positions, hinting at expectations for another price increase.

According to Blockware Solutions’ market projection (which was observed by CryptoMoon), the projected midpoint for Bitcoin’s value in 2025 is an impressive $225,000. Even the lowest forecast of $150,000 surpasses its current price significantly. However, if we consider the optimistic outlook, the potential target could reach as high as $400,000.

As a researcher, I’ve noticed a growing bullish sentiment among traders not only towards Bitcoin but also Ether (ETH). In fact, U.S. spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced significant inflows exceeding $2.5 billion in December alone, nearly doubling the amount from November. It’s interesting to note that asset management firm VanEck has set a target of over $6,000 for Ether by 2025. This suggests a positive outlook for the future of Ether.

As a seasoned crypto investor with years of experience under my belt, I have learned to closely monitor critical support levels when analyzing Bitcoin’s price movements. These key points often serve as potential turning points for a rebound if the market sentiment shifts bullishly.

Additionally, I like to examine the charts of the top 5 cryptocurrencies that could potentially outperform in the near term if optimism sets in. By keeping a close eye on these digital assets, I aim to capitalize on any potential gains and maximize my returns as a crypto investor.

Bitcoin price analysis

On December 27th, Bitcoin dipped below its 50-day simple moving average (around $96,124), suggesting that the strength of the bullish trend may be weakening.

On December 28th, buyers attempted to drive the price over the 50-day Simple Moving Average again, yet the sellers maintained their positions. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average now seems to be descending (at approximately $97,257), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in a region suggesting an edge for the sellers.

The BTC/USDT pair might drop towards the $90,000 support level, which is anticipated to be defended vigorously by the bulls. If the price bounces back from $90,000 and surpasses the moving averages, it will indicate robust demand at lower prices.

To gain control, buyers must push the price beyond $100,000, potentially leading it to reach $108,353.

As an analyst, I’m observing that the four-hour chart appears to be shaping up as a head-and-shoulders pattern. If this pattern completes and we see a break and close under the neckline, the price might experience a significant drop. Should this happen, the pair could potentially slide down to approximately $85,000 initially, followed by a further potential decline to around $76,647 – which aligns with the pattern’s target.

Based on my extensive experience in the financial markets, I believe that if buyers continue to push and sustain the price above $100,000 in the near future, it is highly probable that the negative outlook on this asset will be debunked. This could potentially pave the way for a retest of its all-time high at $108,353. If this level is surpassed, I predict that the pair may soar to an even higher price of $124,206. Having witnessed numerous market fluctuations throughout my career, I have learned that it is crucial to always keep a close eye on the market trends and be prepared for unexpected shifts.

BNB price analysis

As someone who closely follows the cryptocurrency market, I have noticed that Binance Coin (BNB) has been fluctuating recently between $635 and $722 over the past few days. This indicates a delicate balance between supply and demand. Based on my years of experience, I’ve learned that such oscillations can be an opportunity for careful investors to buy low or sell high, depending on their strategy. It is essential to keep a close eye on market trends and make informed decisions, as the world of cryptocurrency can be volatile and unpredictable at times.

The bears are guarding the price of $722, but it’s encouraging that the bulls have prevented the price from falling below their 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $694. This indicates that the bulls have maintained their push and are attempting to surpass the resistance at $722. If they accomplish this, the BNB/USDT pair may gain traction and move towards $760, and possibly further to $794.

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that when the price takes a steep dive and dips below the moving averages, it might suggest that the sideways market movement could persist for a while longer. This is a sign that the bears could regain control if the price breaks below the uptrend line.

On a 4-hour scale, it appears that the $740 mark is being protected by the bears. If the price bounces back from the 20-Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the bulls may take another shot at driving the pair past the $740 threshold. Should they accomplish this, the pair might ascend to $761 and subsequently reach $794.

Contrarily, if the price dives beneath the 20-Exponential Moving Average (EMA), it would imply that the bulls have surrendered their momentum. In such a case, the bears will seize control upon a break and close below $680. This could potentially drive the pair down to $635.

Aave Token price analysis

In simpler terms, the price of Aave (AAVE) is currently experiencing intense competition between those who believe it will rise (the bulls) and those who think it will fall (the bears), with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) standing at around $329.

As a seasoned trader with years of experience under my belt, I’ve learned to read market trends like a book. The upsloping 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) suggests that bulls are currently in control, which is always an exciting prospect for someone who enjoys the thrill of the ride. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around the midpoint indicates a slowdown in momentum, a cautionary sign that I’ve learned to heed after many a hard-earned lesson. If the price were to drop below the 20-day EMA, my gut feeling tells me that the AAVE/USDT pair could potentially plummet to $261. It’s always important to remember that even the most promising trends can take unexpected turns, and I’ve found it wise to keep a watchful eye on such indicators.

To maintain their advantage, buyers should quickly push the price above $362, potentially causing the pair to revisit its upper resistance at $400. Sellers are likely to launch a robust counterattack at $400, but if the bulls successfully hold their ground, the pair might initiate another phase of the uptrend, moving towards $450.

On the 4-hour chart, the pair has created a symmetrical triangle – a common pattern that often indicates further price action in the same direction as the prevailing trend. However, at this moment, neither the bulls nor the bears seem to hold a definitive advantage due to the relatively flat moving averages and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around the midpoint.

If the cost continues to climb and remains higher than its moving averages, the asset could potentially reach the resistance level. Breaking through and closing above the triangle significantly boosts the chances of the upward trend continuing once more.

Alternatively, the pair may drop to the support line if the price stays below the moving averages.

Monero price analysis

For the past few days, Monero (XMR) has been making efforts to rebound, but it’s encountering strong opposition around the price point of $203.

As a seasoned trader with years of experience under my belt, I can tell you that the current state of the XMR/USDT pair looks fairly balanced based on the analysis of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Relative Strength Index (RSI). The EMA is relatively flat at around $193, which suggests a stalemate between buyers and sellers. The RSI being near the midpoint further corroborates this observation.

However, if the price manages to maintain its position above the 20-day EMA, it could potentially signal a shift towards a breakout above $203. If that happens, I would not be surprised to see the pair rallying towards $216 and possibly even reaching $234.

My advice for those considering trading this pair would be to keep a close eye on the price action above the 20-day EMA and be prepared for potential opportunities if the price starts trending upward. As always, never invest more than you’re willing to lose, and always do your own research before making any investment decisions.

If the price falls and remains under the 20-day Exponential Moving Average, it could imply that the pair might linger within the $180 to $203 zone for a while. If the price drops below $180, the bears will have control over the market’s direction.

On the 4-hour chart, the duo is shaping up an upward slanting triangle pattern known as a bullish ascending triangle. This formation will be complete if it breaks and closes above $203. If that occurs, the pair might surge towards its projected peak of approximately $228.

If the price falls beneath the support level, it means that the bullish trend may not hold true. This contradiction in the bullish pattern serves as a warning signal and could potentially lure numerous bulls into a losing position. Such an event might initiate a decline towards the $180 mark.

Virtuals Protocol price analysis

On December 27, Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) resumed its upward trajectory following a breakout above the strong resistance level at $3.33.

Based on the trend of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (currently at $2.71), it appears that buyers are currently dominating the market. However, a negative divergence in the Relative Strength Index indicates that the strong momentum could be starting to weaken. The VIRTUAL/USDT pair might climb towards $4, and potentially reach $4.79 if the positive trend continues.

On the negative side, if the asset dips below $3.33 and closes there, it would indicate a potential vulnerability. This might cause the asset to fall towards the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a significant level to keep an eye on. If the price bounces back strongly from this 20-day EMA, the bulls will attempt to reinitiate the upward trend. A break and close below the 20-day EMA could initiate a more substantial correction, potentially leading the asset down to around $2.

The two moving averages are increasing and the RSI shows a bullish trend, meaning that buyers have an advantage. It’s essential to keep an eye on the 20-EMA as it serves as crucial support on potential drops. If this support weakens, the pair could drop towards the 50-SMA. Since the 50-SMA is a significant level, buyers are expected to make a strong defense against any potential breakdown, as a break below it might lead to a fall in price to around $2.

From my perspective as an analyst, should the price continue to hover above the 20-Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the potential for a rise towards $4 becomes more promising. However, I foresee significant resistance at the $4 mark, as sellers are likely to present a formidable challenge there.

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2024-12-29 23:38