Bitcoin news: Where will this BTC cycle top land – $200K or $400K?

    BTC could top out in late 2025 based on historical trends. 
    Analysts believe BTC could hit $200K — $260K by the end of 2025; the Power Law model suggests $400K. 

As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of experience in the financial markets, I’ve seen my fair share of bull runs and market cycles. Based on the analysis presented, it seems that Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching its final stage before the culmination of this cycle’s bull run. The projected timeline for a potential breakout is Q4 2024, with a bullish move triggering a price rally that could last until late 2025 when BTC may top out.


According to past patterns, it appears that the current phase of Bitcoin‘s [BTC] price increase might be nearing its end, possibly leading up to the final surge in this cycle’s upward trend.

Most market observers point to Q4 2024 as a potential breakout for the 6-month-long price range. 

If it occurs, the bullish breakthrough could initiate Bitcoin’s concluding price surge within this market cycle. Nevertheless, many experts predict that Bitcoin might reach its peak around Q3 or Q4 of 2025.

So, how high can the asset go before it tops out? 

How high can BTC go, $200K?

Bitcoin news: Where will this BTC cycle top land – $200K or $400K?

Based on the pattern observed in the Bitcoin Power Law Model, we can roughly anticipate a figure close to $400,000 if past trends continue to unfold.

In past market cycles, Bitcoin consistently reached a specific resistance level and peaked before dropping again, with only the 2021 cycle being an exception to this trend.

Should the pattern continue, financial model predictions suggest a potential goal of around $400,000. This estimation is further backed up by analyst Ali Martinez and also aligns closely with the Stock-Over-Flow (S/F) model target.

However, Stockmoney Lizards, another BTC analyst, projected that BTC could hit a top near $200K—$260K by October 2025. 

This Bitcoin cycle might be nearing its last significant surge, potentially peaking between September and October of 2025. Based on my predictions, the value of a single Bitcoin could reach anywhere from $200,000 to $260,000 during this period.

Bitcoin news: Where will this BTC cycle top land – $200K or $400K?

As a data analyst, I’ve been tracking Bitcoin’s patterns over time. Notably, in the past, Bitcoin has peaked approximately four years after its preceding high point. Given this historical trend, my projections for October 2025 are based on this pattern, suggesting that we might be looking at another peak around that time.

It’s noteworthy that his predicted price for Bitcoin was remarkably close to Standard Chartered Bank’s projection. The bank anticipates Bitcoin reaching approximately $250,000 by the year 2025.

2024 predictions suggest that Bitcoin could potentially exceed $125,000 if Donald Trump wins the election, according to the bank’s forecast. Conversely, the Stockmoney Lizards predict a price of around $100,000 per Bitcoin by the end of the year based on historical trends.

Bitcoin news: Where will this BTC cycle top land – $200K or $400K?

Currently, Bitcoin was priced around $65,000, but it’s important to note that broader economic factors were gaining momentum as favorable conditions for this asset.

Following the shift in policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve on September 18th, China rolled out a robust economic stimulus plan aimed at reinvigorating their economy.

Market pundits believe that these macro updates could boost BTC’s rally.

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2024-09-27 21:11