Bitcoin: Why you shouldn’t be “overly excited or scared” by BTC’s swings

    Pompliano explains BTC’s recent drop is normal, highlighting profit-taking and seasonal trends.
    He predicts a bullish future for Bitcoin coupled with the power of AI

As an experienced financial analyst, I believe that the recent drop in Bitcoin’s price is a normal occurrence in the market. Profit-taking and seasonal trends are significant factors contributing to this volatility. Despite the current downturn, I remain bullish on Bitcoin’s future, especially when considering the potential impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on the crypto market.


As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that altcoins often mirror Bitcoin’s price movements. However, in this current market situation, while the broader crypto market is surging upwards, Bitcoin itself experienced a 2.16% decrease and was priced at $61.3K.

Impact of Mt. Gox repayment plans on BTC

Compared to the price of Bitcoin on June 6th, which was $71,900, the current decrease is quite significant. This decline has been linked to the repayment plan of the defunct Bitcoin exchange, Mt. Gox.

Alex Thorn, the Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy Digital, pointed out that the Bitcoin reimbursement plan would result in less selling pressure than what the market anticipates.

Pompliano’s bullish outlook on BTC

As a crypto investor, I’ve been closely following the latest developments in the market. Recently, Anthony Pompliano, who hosts the popular Pomp podcast, shared his insights on CNBC Squawk Box. He stated:

“Bitcoin has seen a 40% increase in value so far this year, while it surged by 100% within the past twelve months. Given its reputation for price fluctuations, such growth isn’t unexpected.”

As a researcher studying financial markets, I’ve observed that historical bull markets have experienced several drops of more than 3%. Currently, we’re facing a decline of around 15%, which is a significant setback. Pompliano emphasized this point during his recent analysis.

“This is the right kind of bandwidth you would expect.”

When an asset experiences a substantial increase in value, it’s only natural for investors to sell their holdings to secure profits. After an intense rally at the beginning of the year, this profit-taking behavior occurred.

As a researcher studying the behavior of traders in the financial markets, I’ve observed that some traders employ a strategy called basis trading. This involves simultaneously taking long positions in the spot market and short positions in the related futures market. The goal is to profit from the difference between the spot price and the futures price, which is referred to as the “basis.”

Furthermore, he discussed the recurring pattern where he observed an increase in investor activity during the summer months. Specifically, he mentioned that numerous investors express their interest during this period.

‘Invest in May and then go away,’ 

As a researcher studying this particular trend, I’ve observed an intriguing pattern. Specifically, I’ve found that the fourth quarter (Q4) typically experiences significant growth or activity. In contrast, quarters two and three (Q2 and Q3) often exhibit more modest gains or may even plateau in some cases.

Can Bitcoin and AI co-exist?

It’s intriguing that Pompliano emphasized Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a significant factor. He pointed out that the spotlight has moved from Bitcoin and the broader crypto scene to AI.

According to Pompliano, this transformation isn’t harmful but instead signifies a potential harmony between the two technologies. He underscored this perspective.

AI is going to create enormous amounts of wealth and Bitcoin is going to protect that wealth.” 

Echoing similar sentiments was Alexis Ohanian, Founder of Seven Seven Six, who said, 

In my opinion, I believe that the development of artificial intelligence (AI) and the rising influence of blockchain technology are on a collision course to strengthen one another.

From my perspective as an analyst, although Bitcoin’s present price behavior might cause unease among investors, the future, enriched by artificial intelligence (AI), holds substantial potential for Bitcoin with largely optimistic implications. To quote Pompliano, “the fusion of AI and Bitcoin could bring about a remarkable transformation.”

“During the long-term progression of a trend, try not to let short-term price fluctuations unduly excite or alarm you.”

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2024-06-25 14:15