In a delightful twist of fate, as the Federal Reserve pirouettes into the realm of quantitative easing, our dear Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has donned his fortune-teller’s hat once more. He confidently proclaims that Bitcoin shall ascend to the lofty heights of $110,000 before taking a rather dramatic nosedive to a mere $76,500. How charmingly theatrical! 🎭
In a recent missive on the social media platform X, Hayes elucidated the Fed’s apparent shift from the austere regime of quantitative tightening to the more indulgent embrace of easing for treasuries. Apparently, tariffs are now as relevant as last season’s fashion—utterly passé—since inflation is now deemed “transitory.” One can only wonder what other quaint notions the Fed will conjure next! 🧐
While we await the grand unveiling of whether Hayes’ latest prediction will materialize or dissolve into the ether, it is worth noting that his musings align with the burgeoning market sentiment that the Federal Reserve will indeed conclude its QT program by May. Prediction markets, in their infinite wisdom, have recorded a staggering 100% probability that the Fed will cease QT by April 30. Who knew the future could be so predictable? 📈
Should the Fed indeed pull the plug on QT, it could serve as a veritable catalyst for risk assets, particularly cryptocurrencies. Analysts, those ever-optimistic seers, are already predicting that the liquidity flooding the market could ignite a new bull market. One can only hope it’s not just a bull in a china shop! 🐂
Hayes, ever the chameleon of crypto predictions, has a rather illustrious history of altering his views with the grace of a seasoned dancer. In September 2024, he did a complete about-face, admitting he had been rather misguided about Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. He charmingly asserted his “right to change my mind as the situation evolves.” How refreshingly honest! 😏
In a post dated February 25, Hayes issued a cautionary note that Bitcoin’s price could plummet to a dismal $70,000 if large hedge funds decided to unwind their positions in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. Yet, in a delightful twist of fate, less than a month later, as the market dynamics waltzed to a different tune, he adjusted his analysis, declaring on March 20 that Bitcoin had likely found its bottom at $77,000. Such is the life of a crypto oracle! 🎩
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2025-03-24 12:56