Ah, Bitcoin! The capricious darling of the digital realm, frolicking up 3% after a series of melancholic drawdowns since the end of January. Like a phoenix, it managed to rise above the $80,000 mark after a brief dalliance below that range on March 11. ๐ฆ
On March 12, the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprised us all, coming in lower than expected at a mere 3.1%. This delightful twist in the plot has led Bitcoin’s market structure to whisper sweet nothings of a potential bullish turnaround. ๐
Bitcoin liquidity clusters at $84K-$85K
After a dramatic tumble on March 9, Bitcoin (BTC) decided to test the overhead resistance zone between $84,000 and $85,000 not once, not twice, but thrice! Traders, in a frenzy, began to build short positions like children stacking blocks, unaware of the impending collapse. ๐๏ธ
Liquidation heatmap data revealed a staggering $300 million in short positions nestled in this price region, all poised for liquidation should the price dare to breach the $85,000 resistance. Talk about a financial game of Jenga! ๐ฒ
With a dearth of downside liquidity below $77,000, the probability of BTC gallivanting toward upside liquidity has increased. Triggering those liquidations above $85,000 could ignite a bullish bonfire, allowing Bitcoin to form a higher high and transform this level into a new support. ๐ฅ
Moreover, a CME Bitcoin futures gap from the previous weekend remains unfilled between $85,000 and $86,000. With a 100% record of six gaps filled in the past four months, this setup tantalizingly increases the chances of flipping the overhead resistance into support at $85,000. ๐
If the stars align, the next major resistance lies at $90,000, which could liquidate over $1.6 billion in short positions, leading to a retest of the $95,000 resistance level aboveโa delightful 12% jump from the current price. ๐
Bitcoin analyst Mark Cullen, ever the cautious oracle, echoed a similar outlook but warned that the price continues to move โcorrectively,โ hinting at further sideways movement before a short squeeze. ๐ข
In contrast, Valeria, a crypto analyst and funded trader, suggested that BTC is showing signs of distribution near the $85,000 range, which is short-term bearish. She ominously noted that the BTC price might thread lower below $80,000 before a bullish breakout occurs. ๐
Coinbase, Binance diverge on orderbook trends
Spot traders on Binance have been selling aggressively over the past few days, with selling pressure peaking during the local lows at $76,650. Itโs like watching a game of musical chairs, but with more panic and fewer seats! ๐ถ
Conversely, Coinbase spot buyers placed bids here, leading to BTCโs rebound above $80,000. A classic case of โyou say tomato, I say to-mah-to.โ ๐
On March 12, a similar discrepancy was observed, with Binance spot traders selling near the $85,000 resistance, while Coinbase traders valiantly defended the price at $81,000 during the early US trading session, avoiding further downside. ๐ก๏ธ
While Coinbase has led BTCโs rally in the past, this opposing stance between the two leading exchanges might slow BTCโs momentum to move swiftly through the resistance levels. ๐
Thus, for Bitcoin to reclaim higher highs at $85,000, $90,000, and $95,000
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2025-03-13 13:05