Draper’s Bitcoin Gambit: A Farce in Four Acts (or Fourfold Gains)

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Behold, the esteemed Tim Draper, that most venturesome of financiers, who once sired fortunes from Skype and Tesla, now turns his gaze to Bitcoin with the solemnity of a monk prophesying the end of days. Alas, his latest prediction? A mere trifle: fourfold gains by 2028, as if such sums were but a trifle for the discerning investor.

Since 2020, this nobleman of venture capital has insisted Bitcoin shall ascend to $250,000, a figure he repeats with the fervor of a jester chanting a riddle. Now, he dares to offer a wager on Polymarket, as though to say, “Come, dear skeptic, let us dance upon the blockchain!”

“Bitcoin 4x in less than two years!” cries Draper, with all the gravity of a tragedian.

In a recent tweet, our hero declared that Bitcoin, that most illustrious of cryptocurrencies, shall quadruple its value ere the next full moon. The year? 2028. The time horizon? A mere two years. The audacity! The confidence! One might mistake him for a courtier at Versailles, betting his silk stockings on the moon’s next orbit.

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With the certainty of a man who has never held a losing hand, Draper invites all comers to bet against his prophecy on Polymarket. “A @Polymarket bet?” he quoth, as if such a platform were the very throne of truth.

Prediction: Bitcoin 4x in less than 2 years from here. #bitcoin #opportunity Maybe a @Polymarket bet?

– Tim Draper (@TimDraper) February 18, 2026

Earlier this month, our prophet of profit waxed lyrical about Bitcoin’s “palpable opportunity,” declaring it superior to “leaking banks” and “spending governments.” One wonders if he consulted the spirits of Marivaux or Molière for such poetic prose.

Bitcoin to $10,000,000, said Tim Draper one month ago

Just a moon prior, Draper proclaimed Bitcoin would soar to $10,000,000 per coin, a sum so astronomical it would make Louis XIV weep into his wig. Yet, as the wise scribes of U.Today have noted, our hero’s targets shift like the tides-$250,000 in January, now $4x in two years. A man of vision, or merely a man of whims?

Perma-bulls like Michael Saylor and Samson Mow nod in agreement, though Saylor prefers a ten-year horizon to reach $1,000,000, while Mow, ever the optimist, hopes for an Omega candle to push prices upward. Meanwhile, Bitcoin languishes at $66,880, a comedown from its $126,000 high. Saylor, ever the realist, calls it a “crypto winter,” though he promises it shall be shorter than the last. A comforting thought, like a jest in a storm.

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2026-02-19 13:30