Lightning Network value directly correlated to Bitcoin price: Report

As a seasoned researcher with a penchant for blockchain technology and a keen interest in the evolution of the Bitcoin ecosystem, I find the recent findings on the Lightning Network particularly intriguing. The correlation between the Lightning Network’s value and the Bitcoin price, as outlined in the Amboss Technologies report, resonates deeply with my understanding of these systems.


A recently published study indicates that the worth of the Lightning Network closely mirrors the value of Bitcoin.

The report argues that max flow, which measures the network’s maximum transaction capacity, is the key metric for assessing the true value of the leading Bitcoin layer-2 (L2) Lightning Network.

According to Jesse Shrader, CEO and co-founder of Amboss Technologies, the worth of the Lightning Network increases in tandem with the rise in the value of Bitcoin (BTC).

Shrader told CryptoMoon:

“The Lightning Network is currently optimized for micropayments, but as the Bitcoin price appreciates, the payments infrastructure scales alongside the price. Larger dollar payments start to act like micropayments with high performance compared to the increasingly valuable Lightning channels.”

“It’s like your dial-up internet became broadband because the Bitcoin price went up,” he added.

Lightning Network value directly correlated to Bitcoin price: Report

As an analyst examining the Lightning Network’s growth, it’s crucial to emphasize the importance of evaluating maximum flow as a more comprehensive indicator of value, rather than relying solely on traditional metrics such as node and channel count. These traditional metrics may provide limited insights when assessing the scalability layer of Bitcoin, as suggested in a report recently shared by Amboss Technologies, a company dedicated to developing Lightning Network infrastructure.

Max flow: Understanding the Lightning Network’s key metric

A maximum flow analysis can provide insights into a network’s payment dependability, demonstrating how the likelihood of a transaction’s success fluctuates based on variations in payment amounts.

The reason for this is that the number of nodes does not provide an accurate reflection of how smoothly bitcoin transactions move across the Lightning Network, thereby underscoring its great value as a second-layer solution.

Lightning Network value directly correlated to Bitcoin price: Report

Measuring the likelihood of a deal being successful, max flow analysis helps determine the balance of resources (liquidity) within a system and locate possible congestion points, thereby enhancing the general efficiency of the network. According to the report, this is the case.

“For example, if a channel holds 0.1 BTC and Bitcoin is priced at $50,000, that channel can route a $5,000 payment. If Bitcoin’s price doubles to $100,000, that same channel can handle $10,000—without any changes to the underlying infrastructure.”

The Lightning Network’s growing capacity could invite more institutional flows onchain

For the widespread acceptance of institutional cryptocurrencies, there’s a need for a robust and efficient blockchain network that can handle large transaction volumes smoothly.

Increased numbers of institutions could potentially adopt the Lightning Network, given its expanding ability to handle transactions, as demonstrated by the maximum flow measurement. According to Shrader, this is the key factor drawing in more participants.

“As channel capacity grows and liquidity becomes better distributed across the network, we could see more institutional flows tapping into the Lightning Network.”

The Lightning Network’s growing max flow could lead to reduced costs and easier transactions for institutions. He added:

“Increased channel capacity also means that institutions can route larger payments with lower fees and without requiring frequent onchain transactions. This reduces costs and friction, potentially leading to more institutional activity offchain, as institutions use Lightning for settlement purposes.”

Lightning Network value directly correlated to Bitcoin price: Report

Based on DefiLlama’s statistics, the Lightning Network holds a total value of more than 346 million dollars, which positions it as the third most significant Bitcoin-based protocol in terms of value secured.

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2024-10-22 19:04