Oh, the Folly of Bitcoin’s Dance! When to Buy, When to Flee?

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Ah, the capricious Bitcoin, that fickle mistress of the markets! While the uninitiated gaze upon her chaotic gyrations with bewildered eyes, one sage analyst, the intrepid Tony, dares to proclaim a pattern in her madness. On the grand stage of time, he declares, her steps are not so random, but follow a predictable ballet of bull and bear.

In a recent proclamation upon the digital square of X, this modern-day augur unveiled a macro cycle, a grand framework that, he insists, reveals the opportune moments to embrace Bitcoin’s embrace and the wise hours to flee her tempestuous clutches. His doctrine, you see, is rooted in the annals of history, tracing the ebb and flow of bull and bear since the year of our Lord 2015. And lo, he proclaims, the current cycle mirrors this ancient rhythm with uncanny precision!

A Thousand and Sixty-Six Days of Euphoria, Then Three Hundred and Sixty-Five of Woe

Behold, the pattern, as clear as a farce played out upon the stage! Each grand bull market, a spectacle of 1,066 days, is followed by a bear’s somber interlude of 365. Tony, our shrewd observer, points to the evidence: from January 8th, 2015, to December 17th, 2017, a bull’s rampage, then a year of decline into December 2018. And again, from December 16th, 2018, to November 10th, 2021, another bull’s triumph, followed by a bear’s slumber until November 2022.

And what of our present age? Fear not, for Tony assures us, this cycle persists! The latest bull, he declares, began its ascent on November 22nd, 2022, and shall reach its zenith on October 6th, 2025, when Bitcoin touches the lofty summit of $126,080. Mark my words, this too shall total, with remarkable precision, 1,066 days.

But alas, the bear lurks in the shadows. From October 7th, 2025, to October 5th, 2026, a 365-day correction shall ensue, a period of lower highs and lower lows, a test of the faithful. Yet, take heed, for Tony, ever the pragmatist, allows for a margin of error, a 10 to 20-day variance in this grand dance.

The chart, a visual testament to this theory, divides the cycles into verdant expanses of growth and crimson zones of correction. Peaks of $69,000 in 2021 and $126,000 in 2025 are marked with clarity, and the future, it seems, holds a descent to $40,000 and a resurgence to $200,000 before the next red tide washes over the market.

Beware, the Final Capitulation May Yet Come!

Yet, in a separate soliloquy, Tony warns of a deeper despair. The ultimate Bitcoin bottom, he suggests, may still lie ahead. A descent into the abyss, he predicts, until Bitcoin finds solace in the strong support between $40,000 and $50,000, with a potential bottom forming between mid-September and late November 2026.

He paints a picture of human folly: early buyers, blinded by greed, snatching at perceived bargains in a falling market, while latecomers, paralyzed by fear, watch as prices plummet to depths unimaginable.

As we speak, Bitcoin, that fickle creature, trades at $66,950, a mere shadow of its October 2025 glory, yet still far above the $40,000-$50,000 chasm Tony foretells. A 50% to 40% fall, he warns, may yet be our fate before the bottom is truly reached.

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2026-02-11 19:01