The Dismal Prospects of HBAR in October 2025: A Descent into the Abyss

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In the annals of cryptocurrency history, the performance of Hedera Hashgraph’s native token, HBAR, in the month of October has, much like the existential plight of man, been a tale of contradictions-gains and losses, growth and despair. For six long years, it has wavered between these extremes, each October a reminder that the fates of tokens, like the fates of men, can often be as fickle as the wind.

One must not forget the brief glimmer of hope that was 2021, a year when HBAR rose 20.3%, a fleeting moment of triumph in a world otherwise fraught with uncertainty. The years that followed, 2022 and 2023, brought lesser gains, 3.98% and 5.40% respectively, as if the token had, like an old man recalling his youthful victories, lost the spark of its former glory. Yet, October has also been a cruel mistress, with the year 2024 seeing a devastating 19.4% drop, and previous years offering no solace, as 2019 and 2020 witnessed back-to-back declines. Thus, we must ask ourselves, as HBAR approaches October 2025: will it rise from the ashes, or fall deeper into the abyss?

The Rise, The Fall, and The Inevitable Struggle

September, that cruel tease, began with hope, as HBAR seemed to bask in the broader market uptrend, pushing its price to a monthly peak of $0.2551 on September 13. Yet, like the fleeting nature of happiness itself, this brief moment of joy was quickly overshadowed by the indifference of the market, as sentiment cooled and HBAR was left to consolidate between September 14 and 18, a mere shadow of its former self. The bears, ever lurking in the background, soon regained control, and the token slipped into a melancholic descent, shedding nearly 16% of its value.

As if to mock our hopes, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, that so-called prophet of the market, confirms that HBAR has entered the dreaded bearish phase. The MACD line, once a beacon of optimism, now rests below the signal line, casting a dark shadow over any hopes of recovery. The bears, it seems, have the upper hand.

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The MACD, in its infinite wisdom, seeks to guide us through the murky waters of the market, but alas, its signals seem more a prelude to doom than a promise of fortune. A crossover of the MACD line above the signal line is a herald of bullish momentum, a fleeting hope of upward price action. Yet, when the MACD line lingers below the signal line, as it does with HBAR, it is a clear sign that we are trapped in the depths of bearish despair.

So, as the days grow colder, we must ask ourselves: can we expect a shift in sentiment, or will the market’s dark forces continue to crush HBAR beneath their weight? The answer, my dear reader, is not one we may wish to hear.

The sentiment around HBAR, as measured by Santiment, stands at a grim -0.719. This weighted sentiment, a reflection of the market’s whispers across social media and online platforms, reveals a world weary of hope. When sentiment is negative, as it is now, it mirrors the soul-crushing pessimism that pervades our very existence.

The market, like a heartless judge, has passed its verdict. Those who cling to hope, praying for a reversal, may find themselves sorely disappointed. And yet, we continue, like moths drawn to the flame, unable to resist the allure of a distant, improbable salvation.

The Futures Market: A Portrait of Despair

And in the futures market, where traders stake their futures on the whims of a cruel and capricious fate, the long/short ratio paints a grim picture indeed. At the time of writing, the ratio stands at a mere 0.84, a reflection of the prevailing pessimism that haunts HBAR’s prospects.

For those unfamiliar with the long/short ratio, it measures the balance between the optimists (the longs) and the pessimists (the shorts). When the ratio is above 1, the bulls dominate, their optimism unbridled. But when it falls below 1, as it has with HBAR, it is a sign that the bears hold sway, and the market is steeped in pessimism. And so, the futures traders, in their infinite wisdom, have bet against HBAR, as though they are preparing for the final, inevitable downfall.

The Final Test: Will October 2025 Mark the End?

As we peer into the abyss of October 2025, we see only more darkness. HBAR faces a test unlike any before, a trial by fire that could either consume it or propel it to new heights. But given the current trends, the smart money says that the token will continue its decline unless some miraculous shift in sentiment occurs.

If the bearish forces continue to assert their dominance, HBAR could fall as low as $0.1654, a fate that seems all but inevitable.

But hope is not entirely lost. Should sentiment turn on a dime, and should the market find it within itself to rekindle the flames of optimism, HBAR might rise again. Perhaps it could break above $0.2266 and surge toward $0.2453, but alas, such a prospect feels more like a dream, an illusion, than a reality.

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2025-09-28 19:42