Prediction markets got a big, ridiculous boost-odds of proving aliens real shot up after Trump ordered the administration to rustle up and reveal files on aliens and UAPs. And yes, even Obama chimed in with a “maybe it’s true” moment that’s ripe for a punchline.
Polymarket Traders React to Trump’s Call for Alien and UAP Disclosure
Aliens might be real soon, and traders are bet-maxing like they’re running a space-themed discount store.
On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump directed members of his administration to take the first steps toward releasing files that could confirm the existence of aliens and the nature of Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP), a topic long kept in the witness protection program of government secrecy and denial.
On Truth Social, Trump stated:
Based on the tremendous interest shown, I will be directing the Secretary of War, and other relevant Departments and Agencies, to begin the process of identifying and releasing Government files related to alien and extraterrestrial life, unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), and unidentified flying objects (UFOs).
Furthermore, Trump described the issue as “highly complex, but extremely interesting and important.”
Polymarket and Kalshi, two of the biggest prediction markets, reported a surge in users betting that disclosure will finally prove aliens exist. Both bets jumped to over 26% after Trump’s remarks, with the condition for a positive result being that government folks acknowledge aliens exist this year.
Trump’s move comes after former President Obama put the issue in the spotlight by confirming aliens exist, though he claimed not to have seen them, and denied underground bases at Area 51-a place that sounds like a punchline in a sci-fi comedy.
Speaking to reporters before his post, Trump teased Obama for disclosing classified information and admitted he wasn’t sure if aliens were real, but suggested he might help Obama out of trouble by declassifying the files tied to his statements.
The U.S. Congress has hosted multiple hearings with whistleblowers and military personnel recounting experiences with UAP sightings and related phenomena. In one such hearing, former U.S. Air Force officer David Grusch testified that the government recovered “non-human biologics” from crash sites.
FAQ
- What recent action has President Trump taken regarding the existence of aliens?
President Trump has directed his administration to begin the process of releasing government files related to aliens and Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP). - How did Trump’s announcement impact prediction markets?
Following Trump’s statements, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi saw a surge in bets, with users increasingly confident that disclosure will confirm the existence of aliens. - What conditions must be met for these bets to resolve positively?
Bets will be settled positively if members of the government and federal agencies officially acknowledge the existence of aliens this year. - What context surrounds Trump’s statements on alien disclosure?
His announcement follows former President Obama’s remarks about aliens and comes amid congressional hearings on UAP sightings and related phenomena.
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2026-02-20 11:57