Author: Denis Avetisyan
A new Python library empowers astronomers to model complex, multi-dimensional data from X-ray telescopes, opening up new avenues for understanding dynamic cosmic phenomena.

nDspec provides a flexible framework for Bayesian inference and multi-dimensional modeling of spectral-timing data, demonstrated through analysis of a NICER observation.
The increasing complexity of X-ray astronomical data, encompassing time, energy, and polarization, demands analytical tools capable of simultaneously modelling multiple dimensions. This paper introduces ‘nDspec: a new Python library for modelling multi-dimensional datasets in X-ray astronomy’, a new framework designed to address this need by providing a flexible platform for modelling one- and multi-dimensional datasets common to X-ray observations. The alpha release focuses on time-averaged spectra and Fourier spectral-timing, demonstrated through an analysis of a NICER black hole X-ray binary observation, while outlining a clear path for expansion to additional dimensions. Will this library unlock new insights into the complex behaviour of accreting systems and other energetic astrophysical sources?
The Echo of Infall: Decoding X-ray Emissions
The intense X-ray emissions from matter falling into black holes – a process known as accretion – provide a unique window into the extreme physics at play near these cosmic objects. Detailed modeling of these signals is therefore essential to decipher the dynamic behavior of accreting black holes. These models aren’t simply static pictures; they must account for the rapid changes in brightness and energy observed, revealing how material spirals inward and interacts with powerful magnetic fields. By simulating the complex interplay of radiation, plasma, and gravity, scientists can reconstruct the geometry and physical conditions within the accretion disk, effectively testing theories of general relativity and the behavior of matter under immense pressure. The resulting insights allow for a deeper comprehension of not only the black hole itself, but also the energetic processes that drive phenomena like quasars and active galactic nuclei.
Historically, analyzing X-ray emissions from accreting black holes has presented significant challenges due to the intricate relationship between the energy of emitted photons and the timing of their arrival. Conventional techniques, often relying on averaging signals over time or focusing on specific energy bands, frequently fail to fully resolve the rapid fluctuations and subtle correlations inherent in these signals. This simplification can obscure crucial information about the physical processes occurring within the accretion disk, such as the propagation of instabilities or the influence of strong gravitational effects near the event horizon. The dynamic interplay between energy and time, where changes in one directly impact the other, demands more sophisticated analytical tools capable of capturing the full spectral-temporal complexity of the observed X-ray emission – a task that has driven the development of novel modeling approaches.
The precise characterization of the relationship between energy and time within X-ray emissions serves as a vital tool for investigating the extreme environments surrounding black holes. Accretion disks, swirling masses of gas and dust falling into these gravitational behemoths, exhibit complex behaviors that directly influence the emitted X-ray spectra. By meticulously analyzing how the energy of photons relates to the timing of their arrival, scientists can infer crucial properties of the disk, such as its temperature, density, and magnetic field strength. Furthermore, these relationships provide a unique window into testing the predictions of general relativity; strong gravitational fields near the black hole cause measurable shifts in the energy and timing of X-rays, offering observational confirmation of relativistic effects like gravitational redshift and time dilation. Consequently, detailed studies of these energy-time correlations are not merely about cataloging signals, but about decoding the fundamental physics governing some of the universe’s most enigmatic objects.

NDspec: A Toolkit for Peering into the Abyss
NDspec is a Python library built for the analysis of multi-dimensional X-ray data, encompassing both spectral and temporal modeling capabilities. The library provides tools for reading, processing, and analyzing data from X-ray telescopes and detectors, supporting common data formats used in X-ray astronomy. Spectral modeling features include tools for fitting physical models to X-ray spectra, calculating relevant statistics such as $\chi^2$, and estimating parameter uncertainties. Temporal analysis tools within NDspec allow for the study of time variability in X-ray sources, including power spectral density analysis and the modeling of light curves. The library’s modular design facilitates the incorporation of user-defined models and analysis techniques, extending its functionality beyond the core feature set.
NDspec utilizes Jax, a high-performance numerical computation library, to significantly accelerate calculations and simulations involved in X-ray data analysis. Jax provides automatic differentiation, XLA compilation, and support for parallelization on CPUs, GPUs, and TPUs. This allows NDspec to efficiently handle the computationally intensive tasks common in spectral and temporal modeling, such as model evaluation, optimization, and Monte Carlo simulations. The implementation with Jax enables substantial speedups compared to traditional methods, particularly when dealing with large datasets or complex models, and facilitates the exploration of a wider parameter space during analysis.
NDspec facilitates robust parameter estimation through direct integration with established Bayesian inference algorithms. Specifically, it provides interfaces for Emcee, a pure-Python implementation of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method; Multinest, which employs a nested sampling algorithm for efficient exploration of multi-dimensional parameter spaces; and Ultranest, a highly optimized version of nested sampling leveraging just-in-time compilation. This integration allows users to readily apply these algorithms to NDspec’s data structures and models, obtaining posterior probability distributions and credible intervals for model parameters without requiring substantial code adaptation or data transfer between separate software packages. The supported algorithms enable both sampling from the posterior and calculation of the Bayesian evidence, $Z$, which is crucial for model comparison.
Deconstructing the Signal: A Matter of Time and Energy
NDspec utilizes Time-Averaged Spectrum Modeling and Power Spectrum Modeling to quantify the energy distribution of observed X-ray emissions. Time-Averaged Spectrum Modeling provides a static energy distribution, effectively summing the emission over time to reveal the overall spectral shape. Power Spectrum Modeling, conversely, analyzes the emission’s variability as a function of frequency, identifying dominant oscillation periods and their corresponding energies. Both techniques rely on binning photons by energy to create a histogram representing the number of counts within each energy bin, allowing for detailed characterization of the source’s emission profile and enabling the identification of key spectral features like continuum emission and atomic lines.
Cross Spectrum Modeling within NDspec facilitates the analysis of correlations between variations in X-ray emission energy and time. This technique goes beyond examining energy or time independently by quantifying the phase and coherence between fluctuations in different energy bands. Specifically, it determines the time lag between changes in emission at different energies, providing insight into the propagation of disturbances and the physical mechanisms driving dynamic processes within the observed system. The resulting Lag-Energy Spectra, achieved through this modeling, demonstrate a quality of fit with a reduced Chi-squared value of 1.76, indicating a statistically robust relationship between energy and temporal behavior.
Instrument response folding and unfolding are essential components of the NDspec toolkit, enabling accurate comparisons between theoretical astrophysical models and observed X-ray data. This process accounts for the detector’s specific efficiency and spectral resolution at varying energies, effectively correcting for instrumental effects that would otherwise distort the measured signal. The effectiveness of these corrections is statistically validated through reduced Chi-squared values calculated from spectral fitting; values of 1.05 for the Power Spectrum, 2.49 for the Time-Averaged Spectrum, and 1.76 for the Lag-Energy Spectra indicate a good fit between the model and the data, confirming the reliability of the interpreted results and minimizing systematic errors.

Echoes from the Event Horizon: Mapping Dynamic Behavior
Lag-Energy Spectra, generated and analyzed through the NDspec tool, offer a compelling method for visualizing the delayed responses of X-ray emissions across different energy levels. These spectra don’t simply record when X-rays arrive, but rather reveal precisely how long it takes for variations in lower-energy X-rays to propagate and appear in higher-energy bands. This temporal relationship, expressed as a lag between energies, provides a unique window into the physical processes occurring within the source. By mapping these time delays, researchers can effectively trace the flow of energy and information, ultimately reconstructing the geometry of the emitting region – such as the accretion disk surrounding a black hole – and gaining insight into the relativistic effects at play. The resulting spectra thus serve as a dynamic fingerprint, directly linking observed time lags to the underlying physics of the X-ray source.
The Cross Spectrum serves as a foundational tool in dissecting the temporal relationships within X-ray emissions, moving beyond simple lag measurements to reveal the nuanced interplay between different energy bands. This complex function doesn’t merely indicate when one energy band responds to another, but also how strongly – quantifying both the amplitude and phase of the response. By representing these relationships in the frequency domain, the Cross Spectrum allows researchers to isolate and characterize the various physical processes driving the observed time lags. For instance, a strong, in-phase relationship suggests a direct causal link, while a phase lag indicates a delayed response, potentially originating from different regions within the accretion disk. The magnitude of the Cross Spectrum at a given frequency reflects the power of the signal at that frequency, revealing which processes dominate the observed variability. Ultimately, detailed analysis of the Cross Spectrum provides critical insights into the geometry and dynamics of the emitting regions, bridging the gap between observed time delays and the underlying physical mechanisms at play.
By analyzing the time delays between X-ray emissions at different energies, researchers are constructing detailed maps of accretion disks surrounding compact objects. This technique reveals not only the disk’s geometry – its size, shape, and inclination – but also pinpoints the specific regions where X-rays originate, often tracing back to the innermost, hottest portions near the black hole. These observations are crucial for probing the extreme physics of general relativity, as the strong gravitational fields dramatically influence the emitted radiation and introduce measurable time distortions. However, initial attempts to model the complex relationships captured in the Cross Spectrum – a key tool for this analysis – have yielded a reduced Chi-squared value of 2.99, suggesting that current models require further development to fully capture the intricacies of these relativistic effects and accurately represent the observed data.

The development of nDspec represents a significant advancement in the modeling of complex astrophysical datasets. This library facilitates Bayesian inference across multiple dimensions, a crucial step in interpreting data from instruments like NICER. As Nikola Tesla observed, “Science is not merely a collection of facts, but a connection between them.” The framework embodied by nDspec actively seeks such connections within spectral-timing data, allowing researchers to move beyond simple parameter estimation and explore the underlying physical processes governing accreting black holes. The multi-dimensional approach allows for a more holistic understanding, addressing the inherent complexities of these systems and acknowledging the limitations of singular, isolated measurements. Any attempt to accurately model these systems requires robust numerical methods and careful consideration of computational stability, mirroring the iterative process of scientific discovery itself.
What Lies Beyond the Data?
The introduction of nDspec represents, at best, a refinement of the instruments with which humanity attempts to chart the darkness. Current spectral-timing techniques, and by extension the modeling frameworks they necessitate, inherently assume a degree of continuity and predictability in astrophysical phenomena. However, it remains an open question whether this assumption holds when approaching the event horizons of accreting black holes – or, more broadly, within any regime where gravitational effects dominate. The library’s efficacy in analyzing existing NICER observations is demonstrable, but it does not, and cannot, address the fundamental limitations imposed by the incomplete nature of current theoretical frameworks.
Indeed, the very act of constructing multi-dimensional models, however sophisticated, is predicated on the belief that the underlying reality possesses a describable structure. Current quantum gravity theories suggest that inside the event horizon, spacetime ceases to have classical structure, rendering such models, in principle, meaningless. This is not a failure of nDspec, but rather a reflection of the hubris inherent in any attempt to impose order upon the fundamentally unknowable.
Future work may focus on incorporating more complex physical models, or developing novel statistical techniques for handling incomplete data. Yet, it is crucial to remember that even the most elegant mathematical formalism remains merely a shadow play – a fleeting glimpse of something ultimately beyond comprehension. Everything discussed is mathematically rigorous but experimentally unverified. The true test lies not in the precision of the models, but in the willingness to acknowledge their inherent limitations.
Original article: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.10615.pdf
Contact the author: https://www.linkedin.com/in/avetisyan/
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2025-12-15 01:48