USDC market cap is up 80% from 2023 lows

As a seasoned researcher with a knack for deciphering trends in the cryptocurrency market, I find the surge of Circle’s USDC stablecoin intriguing. The 80% rise from cyclical lows and the shift towards diversifying networks is a testament to the dynamic nature of this industry.

The increasing adoption beyond Ethereum, particularly on Solana, is not surprising given the buzz surrounding memecoins and AI agent tokens there. It’s almost like watching a game of musical chairs where each blockchain network is a chair, and everyone wants to be the last one standing!

However, the potential doubling of USDC’s market capitalization this year sounds optimistic, even for someone as bullish as myself. But then again, who would have thought that Dogecoin, a meme coin, would be where it is today? So, let’s wait and see if this prediction pans out!

On a lighter note, I can’t help but chuckle at the idea of stablecoins being the “on-ramp to decentralized finance”. It’s like saying a well-behaved child is the on-ramp to a wild party. The irony is rich! Nonetheless, it’s an exciting time for DeFi and the future looks promising, as long as we remember to keep our eyes open for any unexpected guests (regulators) crashing the party!

As a data analyst, I’ve observed an 80% increase in the circulating supply of Circle’s US Dollar-backed stablecoin, USDC, relative to its cyclical lows. This surge seems to coincide with a noticeable uptick in onchain activity, as indicated by Blockworks Research data.

Looking at my charts on January 2nd, I noticed that the circulating supply of USDC was rapidly approaching a staggering $44 billion. This is almost twice the 2023 low of under $24 billion, as reported by CoinGecko.

As someone who has been deeply involved in the world of blockchain for several years now, I have witnessed a significant shift in the distribution of holdings across various networks. From my personal observations and professional analysis, it appears that users are increasingly migrating beyond Ethereum, which was once the dominant player in this space. This trend is evident in the data provided by Blockworks’ Data Analytics Manager, Dan Smith, in a recent post on the X platform.

The even distribution of holdings among blockchain networks signifies a maturing ecosystem, where competition and innovation are driving growth. As a long-time advocate for blockchain technology, I find this development incredibly exciting. It shows that the decentralized nature of blockchain is not just a buzzword but a reality, with users having the freedom to choose the network that best suits their needs.

This shift also underscores the importance of staying informed and adaptable in this rapidly evolving landscape. As a user or investor, it’s crucial to keep an open mind and be prepared to explore new opportunities as they emerge. After all, the blockchain space is all about empowering individuals and fostering innovation – and that’s something I wholeheartedly believe in.

The change signifies a surge in on-blockchain actions and the growth of additional first-layer networks like Solana and Hyperliquid. Experts anticipate this pattern to persist, as they predict USDC’s market value could possibly double by the end of this year.

Diversifying networks

65% of USDC tokens are currently stored on the Ethereum network, while around 10% can be found on the Solana platform. Approximately 15% of these stablecoins are distributed across Ethereum’s layer-2 solutions such as Base and Arbitrum, as well as Hyperliquid, a low-latency trading layer-1 network.

2023 saw USDC predominantly reside on the Ethereum network, with approximately 85% of its total circulating amount being housed there, according to Smith’s statement.

The influx of retail traders into the cryptocurrency market, particularly Solana, is partly driving this shift, as speculation grows over Solana-related meme coins and AI agent tokens, according to Grayscale’s December report.

By December 2024, the combined value secured (CVS) on the Solana network had skyrocketed from approximately $1.5 billion in January, as per data gathered by DefiLlama.

Onboarding users

Following Donald Trump’s presidential victory, the total market capitalization of stablecoins saw a significant spike. Specifically, the combined value of the top three stablecoins – Tether (USDT), USDC, and Dai (DAI) – collectively surged past $25 billion, according to a December research note by Citi.

According to cryptocurrency analyst Steno Research, it’s projected that the circulating supply of USD Coin (USDC) could exceed $100 billion by the year 2025, potentially doubling its current amount.

According to Steno, this expansion is contingent upon a key premise: if Tether, the biggest stablecoin, continues to operate without regulation within the European Union.

“If this scenario unfolds, we expect European residents to increasingly adopt USDC as an alternative to Tether’s USDT.”

The rapid increase in the use of stablecoins is very encouraging for Decentralized Finance (DeFi), since stablecoins serve as a pathway to decentralized finance, according to Citi’s perspective.

In the month of December, Grayscale expanded their list of notable tokens for observation in Q1 2025 by incorporating several DeFi applications. Among these are two based on Solana, namely Ethena and Jupiter, along with Jito.

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2025-01-03 00:47