Why Tron Ares Box Office Predictions Are Lower Than Tron Legacy’s

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There’s some apprehension about the anticipated box office earnings of the upcoming movie, “Tron Ares,” as they seem lower compared to its predecessor, “Tron Legacy.” Although various forecasts suggest that the film, set for nationwide release on October 10, 2025, led by Jared Leto, could match Tron Legacy’s performance in certain areas, it appears to fall short in others. Nevertheless, there’s a silver lining for Tron Ares, as Disney has until the end of September to generate more excitement for the film, and the movie will face minimal competition during early October.

What is Tron Ares’s box office tracking compared to Tron Legacy?

By August 10, estimated box office earnings for Tron Ares forecast a domestic opening weekend of between $42 million and $54 million. Overall, the film is expected to earn anywhere from $105 million to $145 million.

According to BoxOfficeTheory’s report, it’s worth mentioning that an initial prediction by BoxOfficePro suggests the film could earn between $30-$40 million in its domestic premiere. However, Tron Legacy started with a $44 million opening weekend, leaving room for speculation that Tron Ares might surpass this figure. Nevertheless, Tron Legacy went on to amass $170 million domestically and an additional $228 million internationally, so the new sequel faces a challenging task to reach those impressive earnings.

The downside is that Tron Ares features mostly new characters, with Jeff Bridges reprising his role as an omnipotent spirit who calls the protagonist a “malfunctioning program” in the movie’s July trailer. Some fans are disheartened because the film isn’t a direct sequel to Tron Legacy and instead seems to follow a horror-action narrative. It’s been 15 years since the last Tron movie, and some of the real-world scenes in the new film feel out of place for the franchise. While there’s potential for Tron Ares to outperform Tron Legacy at the box office upon release, there are doubts about whether its success will be sustainable.

It’s important to bring up the controversies involving Jared Leto, as he refuted claims of sexual misconduct by several women, according to a report by People magazine, in June 2025.

The Way of Water are scheduled for September 26 and October 3 respectively on these screens. However, neither is anticipated to generate as much interest as Tron Ares, leading many cinemas to eagerly switch over to showing it.

In summary, the October 2025 movie schedule appears quite spacious, except for Guillermo del Toro’s horror sequel, The Black Phone 2, which could potentially offer some competition. As for major box office hits, it seems to be the sole contender for Halloween. Excited fans have already started purchasing special Tron-themed merchandise, such as popcorn buckets with a red lightcycle and an arcade cabinet reminiscent of Flynn’s Arcade from the first Tron film.

Furthermore, advance ticket sales for the film are comparable to those for Venom: The Last Dance, indicating a promising beginning. The movie’s test screenings have it outperforming Alien Romulus but lagging slightly behind Sonic the Hedgehog 3. Additionally, there is growing excitement about the soundtrack being created by Nine Inch Nails, with high hopes that it will match the intense and epic quality of Tron Legacy’s soundtrack by Daft Punk.

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2025-09-11 01:17