Will Bitcoin Blow Up to 4MB? Hold Your Hats!

• The grandiosity of the Bitcoin network might swell to a staggering 4 MB by the next tick of the calendar.
• The sages of Mempool insist that the rise may be ignited by inscriptions—those tantalizing digital doodles.

Ah, Bitcoin’s scalability! It flutters like a wayward butterfly, whispering promises of a bountiful 4 MB by late 2026—how delightfully optimistic!

In a recent manifesto from Mempool—a research oracle of the ethereal Bitcoin realm—they proclaim that the growth spurred by those whimsical inscriptions will erupt in colossal waves over the ensuing years.

Somewhere in the folds of the report, it is inscribed, 

“Should the artisanal use of Bitcoin for the preservation of arbitrary data surge gloriously (yielding those ever-so-reliable 4 MB blocks), we could witness the blockchain reach a robust 1 TB by the twilight of 2026… In 2-4 years we should have a 1 TB blockchain, with a flamboyant 2 TB looming on the horizon of 7-9 years hence.”

For context, the current block size huddles around a modest 1.69 MB per block, which isn’t even enough for a decent pizza order! It once lay shackled to 1 MB until the liberating SegWit upgrade of 2017 unbound its limits.

Demand Beyond the 1 MB Cuff

After the SegWit rhapsody, we marveled at a boom of inscription protocols—oh, the glorious chaos, adding bizarro data from poetry to digital contracts into the Bitcoin tapestry.

Consequently, demand for block space escalated past the 1 MB barricades that miners whimsically set, as reported by our esteemed Mempool. 

“The median block size climbed steadily until block 400,000, where the 1 MB consensus wall stood defiantly. Approximately 1.5 years prior to SegWit’s activation at block 481,824, it became a walled garden. Post SegWit, block size sauntered upward, albeit with a slight initial hiccup.”

The average block size leapt jubilantly between 1.11 MB and 1.69 MB, hinting at a cornucopia of transaction data per block. Isn’t it thrilling?

Mempool prophesizes that the aforementioned trend of enviable inscription protocol uptake could inflate the block size to a hefty 4 MB.

Yet, not every Bitcoin conjurer shares this titillating vision. Our famously candid sage, Luke Dash Jr, denounces ordinals and inscriptions as mere ‘spam’—an all-out assault on the Bitcoin sanctum. He ardently advocates for a block size ceiling of 1 MB to stave off this perceived infestation.

However, the majority of his X (formerly Twitter) disciples found his plea to cap Bitcoin block sizes at a paltry 300 KB in the latter half of 2025, shall we say, less than riveting.

In stark contrast to Bitcoin’s jesters, Solana boasts a theoretical block size upper limit of 128 MB—an impressive feat, though rumored to come at the expense of decentralization—a trade-off that raises eyebrows and concerns alike.

And so, we find ourselves at the crossroads, pondering how Bitcoin’s contentious debates over block size might sculpt its fate in the ever-evolving world of adoption and scalability.

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2025-02-06 09:46