Will Mt. Gox creditors sell their Bitcoin? Reddit poll has the answer!

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    Mt. Gox’s planned refunds could have a major impact on BTC’s price
    Many expect the impact to be much more significant than the German government’s crypto sale a few weeks ago

As a seasoned financial analyst with over a decade of experience in the cryptocurrency market, I have witnessed firsthand how large-scale Bitcoin sales can significantly impact prices. The upcoming Mt. Gox refunds, amounting to over $9 billion, are an event that has been long-awaited by creditors, but it also raises concerns about its potential influence on Bitcoin’s price.

In a recent Reddit survey, approximately two out of three Mt. Gox Bitcoin creditors (56%) announced their intention to keep their cryptocurrency instead of selling it. Conversely, around one in five respondents (18%) disclosed their plans to sell their Bitcoins. This revelation comes as the exchange gears up to distribute over $9 billion in compensation to its creditors during the upcoming months.

Selling pressure galore?

Mt. Gox, the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange that infamously lost approximately 850,000 Bitcoins in 2014, is currently going through a lengthy bankruptcy procedure. A major development in this saga is the upcoming distribution of refunds to affected creditors, who have been waiting almost a decade to get their assets back. This forthcoming disbursement of funds has generated debate among experts about its potential influence on Bitcoin’s market price.

If a sizable amount of refunded Bitcoin is disseminated for sale, it may lead to a considerable increase in market supply. Approximately 18% of creditors have expressed their intent to sell, which could result in a substantial influx of Bitcoin entering the exchanges. This sudden surge in Bitcoin availability might put downward pressure on prices, especially if the market is not equipped to absorb the escalated selling volume promptly. The eventual effect will hinge upon the total quantity of Bitcoin sold and the prevailing market circumstances during distribution.

Not the first time

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Based on past occurrences, massive Bitcoin sales can influence its price significantly. For example, earlier in the year, the German government offloaded a substantial amount of seized Bitcoins, causing a short-term decrease in the cryptocurrency’s value. This sale, which unfolded over several days, put downward pressure on the market, highlighting the impact of major sell-offs on prices.

As a researcher studying the effects of Mt. Gox refunds on Bitcoin’s price, I acknowledge that several factors will influence its long-term impact. The overall sentiment in the market, the influx of new buyers, and broader economic conditions are among these factors. Initially, we may observe some market volatility as investors react to this news. However, over time, the market is likely to stabilize as it adapts to the new supply dynamics.

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

Approximately $9 billion in Bitcoin refunds from the collapsed Mt. Gox exchange is set to be distributed to its creditors soon, which may significantly influence the cryptocurrency market. Around one-fifth of these creditors have expressed their intention to sell their BTC upon receiving their refunds, thereby increasing selling pressure and potentially causing prices to decrease. The magnitude of this effect will depend on several factors, including current market trends and investor confidence levels.

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Large-scale Bitcoin sales by governments, like Germany’s past transaction, have historically led to notable price fluctuations. The cryptocurrency world keeps a keen eye on these events and their potential impact on Bitcoin’s market behavior.

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2024-07-19 11:03