XRP’s investor sentiment has dropped to its lowest point since October 2025, which usually suggests prices will fall further, but historically has been followed by price increases. While the token’s value is down about 22% in the last month, other data suggests the situation isn’t as negative as it appears.
While there’s genuine concern, the current market conditions suggest a different outcome. Investor actions, how much risk people are taking, and the price chart itself all point towards a positive trend.
XRP Sentiment Falls Off a Cliff, and That Has History
Overall feelings about XRP are currently very negative. Our analysis, which combines how much discussion there is about XRP online with the balance of positive and negative opinions, shows sentiment is at its lowest point since October 2025.
Currently, XRP is experiencing very negative sentiment – the lowest it’s been in eight months. However, historically, periods of intense negativity surrounding XRP have often led to price increases. Our analysis uses a weighted sentiment score to track this. You can view the chart illustrating this trend here: [link to chart].
— Santiment Intelligence (@SantimentData) June 11, 2026
According to crypto analysis firm Santiment, the recent decline isn’t just about price. Traders are losing interest because, after years of waiting for positive news regarding Ripple‘s legal battle and wider institutional acceptance, nothing significant has happened. This lack of progress, rather than the price drop itself, is what’s really causing the loss of excitement.
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Interestingly, XRP often sees its biggest price increases when people stop paying attention. This is because once most traders have sold their holdings or lost hope, the force pushing the price down naturally weakens. Whether current owners will then drive the price up remains to be seen.
Hodlers Add Weight to Santiment’s Sentiment Thesis
Long-term XRP holders actually increased their positions during the recent price drop, rather than selling in panic. They continued to add to their holdings even as the price fell by 22%.
What’s important is the overall pattern: the amount of XRP held by long-term investors increased significantly from about 144 million on May 12th to around 262 million on June 11th. There was a small decrease in late May, but the amount stayed consistently high throughout June. These are wallets that have been holding XRP for at least 155 days, which is generally considered a mid-to-long-term holding period.
This situation represents a weakening of the market, the opposite of what happens when everyone is optimistic. When dedicated investors continue to buy while short-term traders sell or leave, it creates a limited supply. This scarcity could then lead to further price increases.
Stacked Short Liquidations Set Up a Squeeze
Increased activity from traders betting against the market (short positions) is driving significant liquidations on Binance. Over the past 30 days, liquidations from short positions have reached $106.72 million, considerably more than the $57.95 million from those betting on price increases (long positions). This means short liquidations are currently over 84% higher than long liquidations.
This situation is important because of where many traders have bet against the price. A large group expects the price to fall to around $1.18, and even more anticipate a drop to $1.24. If XRP’s price increases and reaches these levels, those losing traders will be forced to buy back the asset to limit their losses, which could cause a rapid price increase known as a short squeeze.
As a crypto investor, I’m watching for a breakout. It feels like we’re transitioning from a period where people have been quietly buying up coins (accumulation) to a potential price increase. I’m seeing some buying pressure that’s slowly pushing the price up, and if we hit a key resistance level where a lot of short positions are clustered, that could trigger a big move upwards as those shorts are forced to cover. Ultimately, I’m looking at the price chart to confirm if the overall pattern supports this potential rally.
XRP Price Levels to Watch as the Neckline Decides the Trend
XRP is currently trading around $1.13. Looking at an 8-hour chart, the price has formed a bullish pattern called an inverse head and shoulders, starting in early June. However, the price has recently dipped below a key resistance level – the pattern’s neckline.
The potential for price increase is straightforward. If XRP rises above $1.19, it could climb roughly 13% to around $1.34. This move is supported by increased buying and decreased selling activity since June 10 and 11, respectively, and could be triggered by existing holders purchasing near $1.18. To maintain this upward trend, XRP needs to stay above $1.13.
If negative feelings about XRP continue and show no signs of stopping, owners might start selling, or an external event like increasing oil prices could cause problems. If the price drops below $1.11, it could fall to $1.08, and falling below $1.04 would mean this expected price pattern is no longer valid.
A price of $1.19 is a key level. If the price goes above it, we could see a quick increase to $1.34. But if it falls below $1.19, it suggests the recent upward trend is over and prices will likely continue to fall.
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2026-06-12 14:23