Oh, Ethereum, you sneaky little devil! 🦊 You bounced almost 10% from this week’s lows near $2,600, and you’re up about 1% today. Go you! But let’s not throw a parade just yet-this recovery might be as short-lived as my patience for conference calls. 📉
Why the pessimism, you ask? Well, two major bearish signals have decided to crash the party simultaneously. Together, they’re like the uninvited guests who eat all the guacamole and leave before the good part. 🥑🚫
Hodlers Are Selling Like It’s Black Friday and a Death Cross Is Forming-Because Why Not? 💀🛍️
So, here’s the deal: two connected signals are pointing to deeper weakness, and they’re not here to make friends. 👀
First up, our beloved hodlers-those long-term investors who usually hold ETH for more than 155 days. These folks are like the grandparents of crypto, but suddenly they’re selling like it’s a fire sale at Macy’s. On November 22, they sold about 334,600 ETH. The next day? 1,027,240 ETH. That’s a 300% spike in one day! 🚀🔥 What’s the tea, hodlers? Are you scared, or did you just find a better deal on Bitcoin? 🤔
Want more of this hot mess served daily? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. You know you’re curious. 📩
But wait, there’s more! A death cross is almost forming, because why have one bad omen when you can have two? A death cross happens when the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) drops below the 200-day EMA. It’s like the crypto version of a breakup-things are not looking good. 💔
When the 50-day EMA crosses under the 200-day, it’s a big ol’ “sell” signal. And if the selling pressure keeps rising, ETH prices could take a nosedive. Like, straight into the abyss. 🌋
Here’s the kicker: hodler selling is spiking right as the EMA structure turns bearish. It’s like they’re reinforcing the death cross instead of slowing it down. When these two team up, recoveries usually fail, and prices retest lower supports. It’s a crypto tragedy in two acts. 🎭
Ethereum Price Action: The Bounce Is Cute, But the Downside Risk Is Still the Main Character 🌪️
Ethereum’s hanging out near $2,820 right now, but the chart looks like a game of “more pressure above, less support below.” It’s not a great look. 😬
The first level ETH needs to defend is $2,710, the 0.786 Fibonacci zone. If that breaks, we’re looking at a drop toward $2,450-a 13% downside from current levels. And if the death cross completes while hodlers keep selling, ETH could fall straight to that level or even lower if the market decides to be extra dramatic. 🌀
Below $2,452, the next support is near $1,700-the broader extension from the descending structure. That’s only if the trend accelerates and sellers take over completely. It’s like the crypto version of a horror movie, but without the popcorn. 🍿
Upside potential? Limited. Unless ETH can reclaim:
- $3,190, the first meaningful resistance
- $3,660, the stronger ceiling that signals an early trend shift
Under current conditions, hitting those levels seems about as likely as me winning a marathon. 🏃♀️💨 Both bearish signals-the hodler selling spree and the death-cross setup-are still very much active. So, buckle up, buttercup. It’s gonna be a bumpy ride. 🎢
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2025-11-24 18:37