Despite everyone else panicking about 2026 being a bear market, Grayscale is like, “Nah, BTC is gonna hit a new high! 🐒💰”
They’re betting on “safe haven demand” (aka the debasement trade, which is just a fancy way of saying “our money is getting less valuable, so let’s all buy Bitcoin!”) and “regulatory clarity” (which, honestly, is about as clear as a foggy day in January). 🤷♀️
“We expect rising valuations in 2026 and the end of the so-called ‘four-year cycle.’ Bitcoin’s price will likely reach a new all-time high in the first half of the year, in our view.”

Grayscale says the U.S. debt problem will keep making dollars worse, so people will rush to “alternative stores of value” like gold, silver, BTC, or ETH. Because nothing says “I’m financially responsible” like buying a cryptocurrency that’s basically a rollercoaster. 🎢
“As long as the risk of fiat currency debasement keeps rising, portfolio demand for Bitcoin and Ether will likely continue rising as well.”
Grayscale downplays DAT sell-off
On the topic of DATs sell-offs (which is basically a fancy term for “investors panicking and dumping crypto”), Grayscale is like, “Relax, it’s not that bad. Probably.” 🤪
MSCI’s index review is making everyone nervous, like, “What if Strategy dumps its BTC and we all die? 💀” But Grayscale says, “Don’t worry, most DATs aren’t leveraged enough to cause a real crash. Unless they’re using a trampoline. 🪂”

Bitwise is also bullish, but the options market is like, “I’m hedging my bets with a side of sarcasm.” 🎯
Deribit’s negative skew readings? AKA “the market is 100% sure BTC will crash, but also 100% sure it’ll go up. Confusing, right?” 🤯

Will the 4-year cycle break? Who knows! Will DATs cause a meltdown? Maybe! But BTC is at $86k, so the market is like, “We’re just here for the ride.” 🎢
Final Thoughts
- Grayscale: “Crypto bill passing + debasement trade = BTC ATH in 2026!” 🎉
- Market: “Sure, but what if the moon crashes into Earth? 🌕”
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2025-12-16 13:26