As a seasoned crypto investor with a keen eye for tech trends, I find the claim that China is “a decade ahead” in quantum computing quite intriguing. With my background in both tech and finance, I can’t help but approach such assertions with a healthy dose of skepticism.
A speaker at the TechNet Indo-Pacific conference in Hawaii made the bold claim that “China is about a decade ahead of us on quantum” during a panel discussing the use of artificial intelligence for warfighting.
Annually, TechNet Indo-Pacific serves as a military gathering that centers around conversations regarding defense strategies and readiness for armed conflict. The region it primarily focuses on stretches from Africa’s eastern shores to the western shores of the United States.
On October 22nd, the discussion titled “AI/ML as a Tactical Edge” occurred, with various tech industry professionals participating, among them Theresa Melvin, the chief technology officer at AI company Aerospike, who delivered a cautionary statement.
As per Melvin’s claims, China is believed to have gained an “advantage of about a decade” in the field of quantum technology, allegedly due to them not having engaged in a war on terror. Yet, it seems there is scarce scientific or economic proof corroborating these arguments.
War on terror
It appears that Melvin’s views about the war on terror might be influenced by the fact that China has invested significantly more in quantum computing research compared to the U.S. As reported by the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF), China has allocated over $15 billion in public funding for quantum research, which is roughly five times the amount spent by the U.S.
There’s no scientific measure by which the amount of money spent or the number of research articles published can be directly correlated to measurable progress. Furthermore, those figures don’t account for private sector spending on quantum technologies, an area the US leads in.
Despite accounting for the estimated $8 trillion spent on the U.S. War on Terror, the U.S. economy still outperforms China’s by over $10 trillion per year, as indicated by data from the World Bank Group.
Comparing the advancements in the quantum sector between these two countries solely based on their government spending is not a reliable measure of their respective abilities or potential in this field.
Quantum advantage
News about China’s quantum computing industry has been buzzing lately, with reports from the South China Morning Post on October 13 revealing that researchers from Shanghai University successfully deciphered “high-level military encryption” using a quantum computer manufactured in Canada.
The findings presented in this report were swiftly proven false, as translations of the original research paper from both Google and Microsoft translation services indicate that the researchers did not make the alleged claims found in the report.
The previously mentioned ITIF report provides a detailed and balanced perspective on the true nature of China’s quantum technology sector, as well as its comparison with that of the United States.
According to the report, China is a frontrunner in quantum communication, but trails in computing, an area where the U.S. shines. In terms of sensing technology, both countries are on par. The report also highlights that the U.S. holds the upper hand in high-impact areas.
In areas that significantly favor the U.S., such as security and defense, we find advancements in cutting-edge technologies like quantum computing and quantum encryption. The United States has already devised standards and post-quantum encryption algorithms for future use.
While it’s true that China’s research on quantum communications is widely considered world-class, there’s little evidence to support that it’s as competitive in the field of quantum computing or encryption/decryption.
It’s widely recognized through public research and development plans that American private enterprises like Google, Microsoft, IBM, Amazon, and others have a lead over Chinese companies in the particular domains of AI, machine learning, and related sectors. They are also progressing rapidly in these areas.
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2024-10-23 20:38