Key Takeaways
- ETH at $2,193.
- MA50 flipped from support to resistance after price broke below it.
- Ali Charts: ETH at 4H channel bottom, watching for bounce to $2,280 or $2,390..
- MA50 at $2,254 sits between current price and first target of $2,280.
- MA100 at $2,149 sits $30 below the channel bottom at $2,180.
How the MA50 flipped
As of this moment, Ethereum (ETH/USDT) has fallen to $2,193, a 3% decrease today. Looking at its moving averages over the last six weeks provides a clear picture of its recent performance.
Between April and now, Ethereum’s price rose from around $1,950 to $2,500, and the 50-day moving average was trending upward, providing support. The price consistently stayed above this moving average during that increase, which strengthened the belief that the price recovery was genuine. However, this situation has now reversed.
During April’s price recovery, the $2,254 level – marked by the 50-day moving average (MA50) – acted as a support level, meaning the price repeatedly bounced off of it. Now, that same level, about $61 above the current price, is acting as resistance. Essentially, what once supported the price increase is now limiting further gains, capping the current downward trend. This shift happened as the price fell in May, dropping below the MA50 and leaving it above the current price. This MA50 carries significant weight as resistance because traders who bought near that level during the recovery are now facing losses and may sell if the price rises back towards their original purchase price.
The 100-day moving average, currently at $2,149, is a key support level and is slightly below the current price. The 200-day moving average, at $2,611, is a more distant resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.98, indicating the asset may be nearing oversold territory based on historical patterns. With a signal of 51.12, the RSI spread is 11.14 points, suggesting a downward trend in daily momentum.
What Ali Charts’ channel analysis adds
According to a 4-hour chart from Ali Charts, Ethereum’s price is currently at $2,191, near the lower end of a descending channel. The chart highlights key price levels within the channel: around $2,180-$2,191 (where the price currently is), $2,230, $2,280, and $2,390 at the channel’s peak. Ali Charts anticipates a potential price increase if buying activity picks up at the lower end of the channel, possibly pushing the price towards $2,280 or $2,390.
Ethereum is back at the bottom of the channel.
I’m looking for a sudden increase in demand that could push the price up to around $2,280, or potentially even as high as $2,390.
— Ali Charts (@alicharts)
Ali Charts is looking for a price increase, targeting $2,280. However, to reach that target, the price needs to break through a resistance level slightly above the 50-day moving average, currently at $2,254. If the price bounces but fails to surpass this moving average, it suggests a weakening trend and could lead to further price declines within the existing downward channel. Because the price is trending downwards, each failed attempt to reach higher levels reduces the potential for recovery and strengthens the importance of the channel bottom as a key support level.
What the MA100 and channel bottom say together
The price of $2,149 is just below a key support level at $2,180, creating a strong base. Both of these levels have historically provided support, and they are currently close together. If the $2,180 level holds, the price likely won’t fall further. However, if it breaks, $2,149 is expected to act as the next support level, as it has stopped price declines in the past. Currently, the price is approaching this $2,149–$2,180 zone from above, suggesting a potential bounce.
If the price closes above $2,254 each day and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rises above 51.12, it would suggest that the recent low has been successfully overcome and the price is likely to move towards a target of $2,280, according to Ali Charts.
If the price falls and closes below $2,149 (the 100-day moving average), breaking through the lower edge of the current trading range, it suggests this range is no longer holding. This would mean we need to look for the next potential support level below the current price structure.
This article is for informational purposes only and shouldn’t be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com doesn’t support or suggest any particular investment or cryptocurrency. Before making any investment choices, be sure to do your own research and talk to a qualified financial advisor.
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2026-05-16 11:56