XRP Price: Capitulation or Reversal Setup? Key Levels to Watch Now!

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Here’s Why <a href="https://pricpr.com/xrp-usd/">XRP</a> Price is Stuck Below $2—Is This Capitulation or a Setup for Reversal?

For the last eight months, the price of XRP has been steadily declining, resulting in limited trading activity. The price has repeatedly attempted to rise but failed, consistently reaching lower peaks and valleys. It’s been stuck below a key resistance level for over a month, preventing buyers from driving the price up to $2.

One key reason XRP hasn’t been able to rise above $1.50 and reach $2.00 is that many investors bought XRP at prices higher than that level. This is now causing selling pressure every time the price tries to recover. However, the recent downward trend seems to be losing steam, as the price is now stabilizing and moving sideways instead of continuing to fall sharply.

Realized Loss Spikes Signal Capitulation Phase

Glassnode data reveals a significant increase in realized losses, especially among those who bought Bitcoin within the last week to month. This suggests recent buyers are selling at a loss. Historically, similar patterns of losses have often appeared around the time Bitcoin prices hit a low point, with less determined investors selling and more confident ones buying up the available supply.

My research is showing that we’re seeing losses across XRP holders who’ve had their coins for between three and twelve months. This indicates that even those who bought during the price increase are now selling, likely at a loss. This supports my earlier finding that a large amount of XRP is currently worth less than when it was purchased, suggesting the market has already experienced a substantial downturn. Currently, only about 43.4% of all XRP is actually profitable, which is the lowest percentage we’ve seen since July 2024.

This kind of activity typically leads to increased market swings, rather than a period of continued uncertainty.

XRP Price Compressing at a Key Support

XRP’s price is at a key turning point, as several factors are coming together. It’s currently stabilizing between a low of $1.27 and a range of $1.35 to $1.40, with stronger support around $1.12. This suggests that after a long period of price declines, buyers are starting to show interest.

The MACD indicator still shows a negative trend, but is moving towards a potential shift to positive. This suggests the price could soon start to rise, as downward momentum weakens. Trading volume has decreased since the initial price drop, and price fluctuations are becoming smaller, indicating a period of low volatility. While a price increase seems likely, it probably won’t happen immediately.

Key Levels That Define the Next Move

This entire structure now revolves around a few critical levels:

  • $1.27 → Immediate support (decision level)
  • $1.12 → Final support before deeper breakdown
  • $1.80 → Major resistance/trend invalidation level

If XRP stays under $1.80, the overall trend is likely to continue downward. However, if it remains above $1.27, the market will enter a period of consolidation, making a significant price move – either up or down – more probable.

The Bottom Line: What’s Next for XRP Price?

XRP’s price is at a key moment after a long period of falling. It’s currently hovering around the $1.27 support level, and the downward trend seems to be losing steam. While the overall price pattern is still weak below $1.80, the current trading range suggests sellers are losing control, which could lead to a significant price swing. If XRP stays above $1.27, it could bounce back towards $1.80. However, if it drops below $1.27, it might fall further to $1.12, making $1.27 a crucial level to watch for the next big move.

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2026-04-06 18:53