Norway Investigates Mysterious Bets on Nobel Peace Prize Winner – What’s Going On?

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In an unusual turn of events, Norwegian officials have launched an investigation into what could only be described as an eyebrow-raising spike in betting activity on Polymarket – a blockchain prediction platform – just hours before the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner was officially revealed. Somebody’s been a little too keen with their crystal ball…

The drama began when bets on Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado shot through the roof, well ahead of her name being announced in Oslo on Friday. A coincidence? Hardly. The news, first reported by Bloomberg, is enough to make anyone wonder: is there some secret insider whispering the winning name a bit too early?

Erik Aasheim, a spokesman for the Nobel Institute, confirmed they are “looking into it” – which, in plain speak, probably means they’re scrambling to figure out who spilled the beans. According to Aasheim, “We’re on it.” You know, in case you were worried.

Now, here’s where it gets really interesting: Polymarket data reveals that betting on Machado started to pick up pace right after midnight Thursday, Norwegian time. By 11 a.m. Friday, when the Nobel announcement was made, these savvy bettors had already racked up tens of thousands of dollars. Three specific accounts that were all-in on Machado reportedly pocketed around $90,000. Talk about a good night’s work!

BREAKING: Polymarket projects María Corina Machado wins the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.

– Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 9, 2025

One mysterious player, known only by the cryptic moniker “6741,” allegedly set up a brand new account just before placing some rather lucrative bets. The result? A cool $53,500 in profit. Naturally, this trader also hedged their bets, throwing in some smaller wagers on other potential contenders like Russian activist Yulia Navalnaya, environmentalist Greta Thunberg, and WikiLeaks’ own Julian Assange.

According to leaks from Norwegian media, the Nobel Committee had already made its final decision on October 6. Machado, the undoubted victor, had received the award for her tireless efforts in promoting democracy and challenging the iron grip of President Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela. But who could have known this so early? It’s like someone had a heads-up before the rest of us!

Polymarket Gets the Spotlight

For those unacquainted with Polymarket, it’s a platform where users place bets on real-world events, all powered by cryptocurrency. And while Polymarket has been drawing more attention these days, it’s hardly the first time they’ve been in the hot seat for possible insider trading. The platform just secured a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange. Oh, and it also recently got the green light to re-enter the U.S. market after sorting out some regulatory hiccups with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Of course, the big question now is whether someone with ties to the Nobel process might have given away the winning name ahead of time. Did they spill the Nobel beans too soon, or is this all just a coincidence? Stay tuned, folks – the plot thickens!

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2025-10-10 23:39